The impossible has happened. As we all know, to combat inflation, the Federal Reserve plans to tighten, which will create a less favourable backdrop for growth stocks, tempering investor enthusiasm and making it more expensive for companies to fund growth through debt. The question is, will this crash the stock market or not? As we all know, markets are not efficient and therefore these fears might be misplaced.
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The economic outlook and consensus for the United States in 2022 is strong, more-so than in 2017 before the rate hikes back then. Right now, due to fiscal and monetary stimulus, growth in demand is outpacing the growth in supply. The market has been pricing in a lot of fear, in what seems to be the worst case scenario. A lot of these stocks are being priced for bankruptcy, when we all know that this is not the case. Over time, as greater clarity is provided, this fear will subside which could give space for a stronger stock market.
I'm not saying that stocks will go up from here. I'm simply presenting a case for why these fears may be overblown. Of course, anything can happen. In the meantime, always remember this. When nobody is interested in investing, that's when it's the best time to invest. If you see opportunity when no one else does, that's when you make the most money. We know that our companies have been improving their fundamentals (*cough cough CLSK), and we know that, one day, their respective stock prices will reflect these realities. At this point, it's just a question about when, not if. All I know is that, as long as I'm buying solid businesses with improving fundamentals, eventually, I will be rewarded. And you will too. To me, this feels like a "fundamentals" vs "stock price" type of situation. Which one will it be? Which one is right?
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