It's coming.
The two articles Mike was referencing on emergent phenomena in NLP models:
https://ai.googleblog.com/2022/11/characterizing-emergent-phenomena-in.html
https://yaofu.notion.site/How-does-GPT-Obtain-its-Ability-Tracing-Emergent-Abilities-of-Language-Models-to-their-Sources-b9a57ac0fcf74f30a1ab9e3e36fa1dc1
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