What if I told you that we're looking at polling numbers in the wrong way? We're all inundated with polling right now as we enter the final three weeks of the 2024 election, and we're used to looking at those polls with one question in mind. Who's ahead? But today's guest says we shouldn't be looking at the margin. We should be looking at the share of the vote that each candidate is getting. And that tells us a LOT more about what's going to happen in the election. Our guest is Nate Moore, a public opinion expert who writes for the American Enterprise Institute and the Liberal Patriot.
00:59 The Importance of Vote Share
04:20 Current Polling Trends and Predictions
09:16 The Pennsylvania Problem
16:11 The Blue Shift Phenomenon
19:40 Polling Methodologies and Their Impact
26:33 Impact of Mark Robinson Scandal
29:21 The Butterfly Effect in Elections
32:26 Electoral System and Party Dynamics
38:36 Key Races to Watch
40:42 Election Night Indicators
