For lenders that are taking the "extend-and-pretend" approach, placing less emphasis on valuation declines, and waiting for lower rates, the risks have not abated, and the New York Fed has taken notice in a new report.
Sources discussed in this episode:
Federal Reserve Bank of New York: “Extend and Pretend in the U.S. CRE Market” - https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/sr1130.pdf
The Conference Board: “US Consumer Confidence” - https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies: “The Role of the Recent Immigrant Surge in Housing Costs” - https://www.jchs.harvard.edu/blog/role-recent-immigrant-surge-housing-costs
John Burns Research and Consulting: “Slowing immigration set to give a smaller boost to housing” - https://jbrec.com/insights/immigration-slowdown-in-2025-expected-to-decrease-rental-demand/
Institutional Property Advisors: “Near-Record Product Absorption Maintained Through Third Quarter” - https://www.institutionalpropertyadvisors.com/research/special-report/2024/10/special-report-october-multifamily-market-intelligence
CoreLogic: “National Rent Growth Remains Slow and Steady in August” - https://www.corelogic.com/press-releases/corelogic-national-rent-growth-remains-slow-and-steady-in-august/
Apartment List: “National Rent Report, October 2024” - https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/national-rent-data
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