The top heavy prizes in previous Best Ball Mania contests demanded that drafters prioritized Week 17 above all weeks to maximize their win potential, but a new wrinkle with the Best Ball Mania V payout structure might have changed which playoff week is the most important. In this video, I overview the BBMV structure, dig into some interesting math about the importance of Week 16, and share how I am going to specifically apply these findings in my drafts.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:24 - The thesis behind "Week 17 is all that matters"
04:00 - The Best Ball Mania V structure is very different compared to previous BBMs
06:53 - Breaking down the BBMV prize pool and EV per round
08:48 - Comparing prize structures between BBMIV to BBMV
09:20 - Is Week 16 now the most important week?
10:00 - Week 16 vs. Week 17 from a win rate & cumulative EV perspective
13:20 - Should this math change the way you draft in 2024?
14:00 - The debate all boils down to the game stack
15:45 - The data behind bring backs hitting
16:55 - How I'm going to approach game stacks in BBMV (3 tips) and the biggest correlation edge in 2024
