NFL Week 10: We Made Some Money!
We made money this last week at the Snoqualmie Casino’s contest called Beat the Point Spread Pick ‘Em. Week 9 marked the halfway point in the contest, and the first-place prize was $3750.
WA DAWGS was top-dawg, and we cashed in. We came in 6th place at Westgate, so we almost got a prize, as they have the top 1-5 winners cashing in. And at Circa Millions, we are nowhere near the top of the heap in that contest. But we did survive another week in the Circa Survivor contest.
Recap:
Westgate Supercontest 4:1
Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (WIN/Covered)
Carolina Panthers +2.5 (LOSS)
Baltimore Ravens -6 (WIN/Covered )
Philadelphia Eagles -3 (WIN/Covered)
Las Vegas Raiders -1.5 (WIN/Covered)
Circa Millions 3:2
New York Jets +3.5 (LOSS)
Carolina Panthers +2.5 (LOSS)
Baltimore Ravens -6 (WIN/Covered )
Philadelphia Eagles -3 (WIN/Covered)
Las Vegas Raiders -2 (WIN/Covered)
Beat the Point Spread Pigskin Pick ‘Em at the Snoqualmie casino in Washington State: 3 wins/1 push/ one loss
Cleveland Browns (WIN/Covered)
Carolina Panthers +2.5 (LOSS)
Baltimore Ravens -5.5 (WIN/Covered )
Philadelphia Eagles -3 (WIN/Covered)
New Orleans -7 (PUSHED)
Circa Survivor contest: We survived by taking the Browns (beating the Cardinals).
On to our leans!
2023 NFL Week 10 Leans:
Cincinnati Bengals -6.5
Let's talk chalk here. The Bengals have been on a roll, and I don’t think they are looking to fade. Houston is coming off a good win, and def a spot to fade them here. My math shows more neutral value here, but our guts and instincts say, take the Bengals. They need to keep winning bc their division is tough. And I think Burrow and the team are clicking on every level.
Seattle Seahawks -6.5
Can we get any more chalkier? Well, yes, we can. And that is by taking the Seahawks. They had a terrible bad beat last week in Baltimore. They are at home, making this a good time for a bounce-back week. Washington is pretty inconsistent, and after that win last week, let’s fade them. And I do have Seattle handicapped more at a -7.5 so that one point of value is convincing to me.
Jacksonville Jaguars +3
I know exactly what you are thinking. Are the 49ers losing ANOTHER game?? Yes, they don’t have to lose. And I would love to take 3 points on Jacksonville at home. With the 49ers injuries, I like the at-home dawg. Plus, I have this game more at a pick ‘em.
Pittsburgh Steelers - 3
I know the Steelers are kind of hot/cold this season. But they are at home, and it’s Green Bay. Am I just betting against Green Bay because they have been so poor this season? Or betting for the Steelers because they have been so good? It’s the former.
There are a few other leans, but I still dwell on them. I like ATL for the win. I know Kyler Murray is back. But it has been like 18 months since he played a game. There is going to be some serious rust. How could you not pine for the points on the Broncos (+7.5) and the Browns (+6)? Rob is leaning toward Detroit, and I have a couple of value points on the Chargers. Also, the Jets look good as a bounce-back, and I have 1.5 points of value on them.
Circa Survivor Lean:
We have used up a lot of great teams, so our pickings are starting to slim. This week leaning toward the Bengals to win and survive to week 11.
There are 9 weeks left. And we are looking, hoping, and praying to pull up the ranks at the Westgate, keep surviving the Circa Survivor, and stay on top of the Beat the Point Spread Pigskin Pick ‘Em at the Snoqualmie casino. I might be an optimist at heart, but rising in the Circa Millions contest, considering where we are at now…Well, that is going to be a tough act to pull off. But hey, it’s NFL football, where anything can happen. Good Luck to everyone’s picks and teams!