2023 NFL Week 11 - Heads Hangin Low
Oh man, we are feeling beat up and humbled from week 10! We tanked, sank, and got destroyed last week. This week, we are picking ourselves up, spitting the dirt out, and ready to get back in the saddle for week 11.
But we did so poorly. We only got a push and all losses at the Circa and Westgate. We fell fast and hard in that competition. Can we get back on top? Well, it really comes down to this week. We must get back on top this week to salvage any possible winnings and our pride. And to add salt to the wound, we got kicked out of Survivor at the Circa. Those darn Bengals lost, which stopped us in our tracks for the Survivor game. But it was so much fun, and can’t wait to get spanked next year when we sign right back up.
There is a little silver lining, though. We won the first half of the Snoqualmie Casino’s contest called Beat the Point Spread Pick ‘Em and walked away with $3750.
On to week 11! Maybe it's because of our bad beat last week (we took way too much chalk), but I'm feeling so conflicted. The lines at the Snoqualmie Casino differ from the Circa and Westgate, and we are taking different teams. Bc Snowqualmie uses older lines, and we got some real gifts.
For example, Snoqualmie Casino (just for their contest) has Pittsburgh at a +4 over Cleveland, whereas Circa/Westgate has the spread at Pittsburgh +1. They also have Chicago at a +10 over Detroit, and Circa/Westgate has them at a +8/+7.5.
So this is what we are thinking:
Snoqualmie Casino Beat the Point Spread Pick ‘Em:
- Chicago Bears +10 over the Detroit Lions
- Pittsburgh Steelers +4 over the Cleveland Browns
- Miami Dolphins -10 over the Las Vegas Raiders (Circa/Westgate are -13.5)
- Carolina Panthers +11 over the Dallas Cowboys (Circa/Westgate are +10)
- Debating between Jaguars -6.5 (Circa/Westgate are -7) or Broncos -1.5 (Circa/Westgate are -2.5)
Circa and Westgate:
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Just love the points on this one. While San Francisco killed the Jaguars last week. This is a look-ahead game bc the 49ers play the Seahawks next week in a very tough division rivalry. And on my math model, I have TB at +7.5, like the value here.
- Carolina Panthers: love the points on this one, too! Yes, Dallas decimated the Giants last week. They don’t play as well at home, and it is a short week for them. Dallas has to play on Thursday, Thanksgiving, in a tough rivalry against the Commanders. Even though the coach, Frank Reich of the Panthers, is taking back offensive calls (not sure why, bc the offensive coordinator T Brown seems really good), I think it will be up to the Panther’s defense to hold tight. They don’t have to win, just cover.
- Miami: To cover, they have to win by 14. That is a lot of points to lay, and kinda feeling it but still wavering. It's a good spot for Miami after that loss to KC in Germany and a bye last week. And as much as I love that new coach for LV, Antonio Pierce, come on, it's the Raiders.
That’s all I got. It’s coming down to the 11th hour, and that is all I got. Leaning a tiny bit toward the Jets, Jacksonville (good comeback game?), Houston (I mean is Kyler Murray all that and a bag of chips?), and maybe Broncos (at home in Denver, prime time and everyone is on the Josh Dobbs bandwagon, public dawgs usually die).
Okay, I’m off to meditate, pray, and bargain with the Gods. Good luck to you all and your bets. Let’s take a line from The Hunger Games, ‘May the odds be ever in your favor.’
Xox WA DAWGS
