2203 NFL Week 12 Season
Heads STILL Hangin Low:
Talk about getting kicked while we are down! Week 11 was not good. We went 1 and 4 at both the Circa Millions and Westgate Supercontest. And 2 and 3 at our local Snoqualmie Beat the Point Spread Pigskin Pick ‘Em.
At this point, we are really questioning our sanity. These contests cause so many emotional ups and downs. I know, I know, you are thinking, ‘Journal it or see a therapist, just get on with the leans!’
BUT by the grace of some higher power, we are still in second place at our local casino Snoqualmie. So, never give up hope!
Week 12 Leans: as of now, we are using the Circa lines, but we have not gotten the actual spreads for the contests yet.
Detroit Lions -7.5 (over Green bay)
- I handicapped Detroit at a -13. So I see a lot of value on this one. I know, it's a division game on Thanksgiving. But Detroit has played on Thanksgiving since the dawn of time (or at least when I was a kid). And have always lost on Thanksgiving. But this is a different team on a winning streak. I see them winning by 14.
Seattle Seahawks +7 (over 49er’s)
- Do I actually bet against the 49ers after the last two amazing victories? San Fran is on fire, and this is a divisional game. This is going to be a tough battle. But 7 points for the Seahawks at home in Seattle? Gino’s elbow is questionable. He is going to play, but how well. I do think Gino Smith plays better in an underdog role. But that elbow, no matter how much drugs are pumped into him, could be a hindrance. It’s a lean, but I'm still debating taking this one for the contests.
Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 (over Pittsburgh)
- With Joe Burrow out, everyone is on the Steelers. But the Bengals are a good team, and with the new (QB) player ‘effect,’ I think the Bengals will get this one done with a win. I have no confidence in the Steelers, no matter how smart and cute their coach is. And my math model shows the Bengals at a -2.5.
Tennessee Titans -3.5 (over Carolina)
- Even with a rookie QB I have this game handicapped at the Titans -5.5. So, I see value in the Titans at home. They are ready for a win, and why not against the lousy Panthers? So maybe I want to take this bc the Panthers are so bad.
NY Giants +3.5 (over NE)
- In last week's games, the QB for the Giants got sacked 6 times! And he kept getting back up. Just bc he lives with his mom doesn’t mean he is not tough. I wish I could live with my mom. She is an amazing cook and has no problem with wine on a Wednesday. But really, the Giants at home are getting points (love the home dogs). And it's NE. They are not, how do I put it politely? NE is just not that great, I have them ranked pretty much on par with the Giants. I see a few points of value for the Giants.
Cleveland Browns +1.5 (over Denver)
- I like the Browns in this matchup. Their defense is outstanding, and I think they could win this game. My math model shows the Browns at a -3. And after that failed, sloppy two-point conversion the Broncos did on Sunday night, I cannot lay any points on Denver.
LA Rams +1 (over Arizona)
- My math model showed a couple of points of value for the Rams. Not really feeling this because it is a division game. And I find AZ plays well at home. Just found some value here on the Rams, but might pass on this one.
Okay, tomorrow is November 23rd, 2024, Thanksgiving. Looking forward to hanging with family, stuffing our guts with good food, and watching football. What more could a gal ask for?
WADAWGS
