2023 NFL Week 14: Hanging In There
Leans for Week 14 NFL: Our picks for the Circa Millions and Westgate SuperContest
New York Jets: +3.5 at Circa Millions and Westgate SuperContest
This is a good spot for the Jets to cover and a good time to fade Houston. The weather could be rainy, which put a wrench in Houston’s throwing offense. And the Jets' defense, at home, could even win the game between these two. We are picking the Jets’ defense to cover this spread.
New York Giants: -6.5 at Circa Millions and Westgate SuperContest
Feel that Green Bay is overvalued after their last couple of wins. And the Giants are starting to put up a fight, and looking better with the new QB. Plus, it’s Monday night, and the Giants are a home dog.
Baltimore Ravens: -7 at Circa Millions, and -7.5 at Westgate SuperContest
This might be a chalky square bet, but I like the Ravens in this matchup. Ravens are at home, and after a bye, I think they could easily cover. The Ravens have a great running game. And it's supposed to rain a lot, which could disrupt LA’s throwing offense.
Miami Dolphins: -13 at Circa Millions, and -13 at Westgate SuperContest
Miami always seems to beat up bad teams. Tennesee played so hard last week to lose that divisional game to the Colts. Even though the Titans had so many chances to win that game. I think the Dolphins could easily win by two touchdowns.
Indianapolis Colts: -1 at Circa Millions, and PK at Westgate SuperContest
It’s a short week for Cincinnati. And there is a stat that shows double-digit dogs that outright win will rarely win the next game. After Cincinnati’s battle with Jacksonville last week, it's a good time to fade them.
Side Note: we are also playing the Beat the Point Spread Pigckin Pick Em’ at our local Snoqualmie casino. And they have different spreads than the Circa Millions and Westgate Supercontest. So we ended up changing our 5 ATS games from what we picked at Circa and Westgate. We got Seattle Seahawks at a +12.5, as opposed to 10.5 at the other books. Love the extra 2points of value there. And we got Cleveland at a +3 instead of the -3.0, -3.5. Which is 6 points of value, so we had to take Cleveland. Hope it works out to our advantage.
Snoqualmie Casino:
Cleveland +3
Seattle +12.5
New York Jets +6 (yes! It was a +6 there)
Miami -13.5
Baltimore -7.5
Fingers crossed for week 14. Best of luck to you all
