WAD - 006 Week 6 NFL: The Pressure is Rising!
Welcome back to WA DAWGS! Here we are at week six, and the PRESSURE is off the chain!
Recap:
We are entered into 4 NFL sports betting contests:
Westgate Super Contest (5ATS picks)
Circa Millions (5ATS picks)
Circa Survivor (pick one win a week, and hopefully survive till the end of the season)
Wa Snoqualmie Casino’s Beat the Point Spread Pigskin Pick ‘Em (5ATS picks)
Last week, we went 5-0 at Snowquamie, which has put us in the sole #1 position of the contest. We went for 4 wins and 1 push in the Westgate Super Contest. And we went 4-1 in the Circa Millions Contest. Plus, we moved forward in the Circa Survivor contest by taking the Detroit Lions.
So when I say the Heat is on, we have the potential to win some cash this week in the Westgate Super Contest prizes for week 6 and weeks 4-5-6. Westgate has every three-week prizes (hence, 4-5-6 weeks) and a 6-week prize.
And would you believe we are in the running for both?! I can hardly believe it myself, because we are not wise guys, sharps, or professional bettors. We have work, busy day jobs, commitments, and a hectic, happy life. Was not expecting to do this well, but here we are!
But, it is up to this week (week 6) that will determine if we cash in some prize money or not. Needless to say, that makes it fun, exciting, and absolutely terrifying.
Let’s get right to the LEANS:
Baltimore Ravens:
This one is chalk. But I feel like it's got good value. I handicapped this one at -5, so there is a point of value there. And Baltimore left for England (they are playing in London) last Sunday and have spent the week there getting acclimated. It’s a good bounce-back spot after losing to the Steelers.
New Orleans Saints:
Last week’s game makes you wonder, is NO stunning, or is NE just that poor? NO has a crushing defense, and their offense has some of the best players in the league. If dreamy-eyes Carr can throw some bullets and if they can bring together the talent they have as a coordinated team, they could easily cover. In my #s, I found NO to be -2.5, which is a point of value.
Seattle Seahawks:
Okay, I live in Washington, so I am a fan. But I am not biased! I have Seattle ranked at a 10 and Cincinnati at a 15. I know the Bengals beat the Cardinals last week handily, but that doesn’t mean they shoot right back up to the top of the rank. I actually handicapped Seattle at a pick 'em to a -1. So the fact the Seahawks are getting points makes this a gift.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
The Buccs have a by-week, meaning they have had plenty of time to prep. From a team that was predicted to be one of the worst, the Buccs are actually quite good and have amazing talent on their team. Detroit has played really well, but I am all over the at-home dawg in this match-up.
ATL Falcons:
I don’t know if we will take this on the contest. Last week’s game was just painful to watch. ATL pushed on one contest for us and covered on another. But it really was by the hair of their chinny chin chin. My #s showed ATL at a -5.5, so it looks like there is some good value. But my gut is saying stay away from this ugly game. Then again, ugly games make for exciting football. Going to stew on this one for a while before I make up my mind.
San Francisco 49ers:
SNOQUALMIE ONLY: The Snoqualmie casino has the 49ers at a -4.5. At a -4.5, I will take this for the Beat the Point Spread Pigskin Pick ‘Em. The other books, such as the Westgate Super Contest, have SF at a -7. Even if Deshaun Watson doesn’t play, that’s a hard no for me at a -7.
Those are our leans. Got a little more time to solidify them before Sunday.
Hopefully, with a bit of luck, lots of prayer, and some serious analysis, we can pull some (lots) wins this week.
Thanks for listening to the WA DAWGS podcast.
