First off, last week was ugly for WA Dawgs. We got our behinds kicked. Maybe we were too cocky and strutting our stuff bc we had done so well. That is, so well, up until week 6.
It’s funny that many emotions happen with these sports games on a Sunday. You're happy, excited, worried, upset, angry, laughing, and crying (the end of that Seahawks game, ugh!); it's worse than therapy. But you must love the game because we are still here, week 7, back for more!
We went 4 and 1 across the board at all of our contests:
Westgate Super Contest (5ATS picks)
Circa Millions (5ATS picks)
Wa Snoqualmie Casino’s Beat the Point Spread Pigskin Pick ‘Em (5ATS picks).
It still gives a yuck-taste in my mouth, but we gotta keep moving forward. If it weren’t hard, it wouldn’t be fun. So we didn’t get the week 3 and week 6 winnings that we were so close to at the Westgate. But we are still in first place at the Snoqualmie Casino, actually tied for first place.
The silver lining is we are still in the Circa Survivor contest picking Miami.
This week for Survivor, we are looking to take Seattle over Arizona. I know it is a division game, and Seattle lost last week to the Bengals. But for the division, Seattle really needs to win this game. Their division has some tough teams, like San Francisco and the LA Rams. Looking at this one for Survivor, but not ATS, as 7.5 points is a lot to lay.
These are our leans this week. But I do have to say, is it me? Or this week seems even more brutal than last week!
LA Rams:
Pittsburgh is coming off a bye this week, but that doesn’t mean they will do well. A lot of teams do better going into a bye than coming off. And the Steelers are not like the Steelers team of the past. Plus, the Rams have done really well this season. Considering they were supposed to be one of the worst teams. They look like tough competition and could have a chance to get the wild card. Even win the division if SF keeps playing as they did against the Browns in week 6. The Rams have some really great new talent, and they are at home again, which bodes well for them.
Philadelphia Eagles:
This could be a good bounce-back spot after losing to the Jets last week. Eagles are at home, and they have some pretty tough competition in their division that they need every win they can get. Miami is amazing this year, as expected. But this could be a good letdown spot for them. And the Eagle's defense is healthy and strong. If the Eagle’s defense can hold back the Miami offense, the Eagles could easily cover this game by 3.
Baltimore Raven:
This is an excellent let-down game or scheduled loss for the Detroit Lions. I know every team wants to win. But look at Detroit's division: Bears, Packers, Vikings. The Lions easily have their division won. The Ravens, on the other hand, have some stiff competition in their division: Steelers, Bengals, and Browns. The Ravens need to win this game, and they are at home. Could see this being a good spot for the Ravens to cover by 3.
LA Chargers:
Yes, the Chargers are in Arrowhead at KC. And yes, KC is a tough team to play in Arrowhead, not to mention KC is a strong team. But got to take the points on the Chargers this game. The Chargers have a +5.5, and they usually have not let any team take a big lead in their past games. I am not expecting the Chargers to win (although I might put a little money on the money line for fun), but they could cover.
Chicago Bears:
I can’t believe I am even contemplating it. But we are leaning toward the Bears to cover, if not win at home against LV. It looks like both teams are going to have backup rookie QBs. And both teams have not looked spectacular this season thus far. But my model #s point to the Bears being more of a +1 than a +3. So, we are considering taking the points for a home dawg in Chicago this week.
Well, here to another exciting, nail-biting week of NFL football! I wish all of you the best of luck for your teams.
Thank you,
WA DAWGS (Rob and Val)