This coffeesode reviews a working paper by Van Dijcke, Gunsilius, and Wright (2024) that investigates the causal effects of return-to-office (RTO) mandates on employee tenure and seniority at major US tech companies.
Using a large resume dataset and a sophisticated statistical technique called "distributional synthetic controls", the working paper provide compelling evidence that RTO policies lead to a significant outflow of senior, long-tenured employees, primarily to large, direct competitors.
Return to Office and the Tenure Distribution
David Van Dijcke1,2, Florian Gunsilius1, and Austin Wright3
1Department of Economics, University of Michigan
2Risk Analytics Division, Ipsos Public Affairs
3Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago
https://harris.uchicago.edu/sites/default/files/wright-return-to-office.pdf
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