This episode explore the concept of antifragility, arguing that robustness comes from embracing randomness and avoiding fragility. It emphasizes subtractive knowledge, focusing on what's wrong rather than what's right, and proposes "via negativa," a less-is-more approach to decision-making. The author applies these principles to various fields, including technology, medicine, and forecasting, advocating for simplicity and skepticism over complex, interventionist approaches. He highlights the dangers of neomania, the love of novelty for its own sake, and promotes a respect for the past and the Lindy effect, which suggests the longer something has existed, the longer it's likely to last.
