In this episode of the Texas Land Guys Podcast, hosts Tim and Tom Dosch break down some of the biggest misconceptions about land values and investment strategies. They discuss why land doesn’t always appreciate, why appraisals and comps can be misleading, and why selling land is nothing like selling a home. With decades of experience in Texas land brokerage, they share real-world examples of investment pitfalls and how to navigate the complex world of land development.
Tim and Tom also explore the risks of land investments, highlighting the impact of zoning changes, infrastructure challenges, and market downturns. They reflect on the lessons learned from past cycles, including the Great Recession and the recent wave of land foreclosures. Throughout the conversation, they emphasize the importance of strategic timing, patience, and avoiding risky leverage.
Whether you’re a landowner, developer, or investor, this episode provides valuable insights into the realities of Texas land deals and how to make informed decisions in an ever-changing market.
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Key Takeaways
Market outlook for 2025 and beyond
Misconceptions about land values and appreciation
The reality of land investments and common risks
Why appraisals and comps don’t always determine market value
The importance of highest and best use in land valuation
Factors that impact land prices (zoning, infrastructure, demand)
The dangers of holding land for too long
Lessons from past downturns and foreclosures
Why selling land is different from selling a home
The risks of putting debt on land investments
Strategic approaches to buying and selling land
The role of municipalities and regulations in land value
In This Episode:
[00:00:00] Introduction to the podcast
[00:00:55] The 2025 market outlook
[00:01:18] Surviving and thriving in a tough market
[00:03:02] Common misconceptions about land values
[00:04:03] Misconception 1: Land always appreciates
[00:06:10] Examples of land losing value over time
[00:08:13] How market cycles affect land pricing
[00:11:50] Misconception 2: Comps and appraisals determine land value
[00:14:02] Highest and best use vs. market trends
[00:15:33] Misconception 3: Land is always a good investment
[00:16:04] The myth of land scarcity
[00:17:36] Risks of infrastructure and zoning restrictions
[00:19:22] The dangers of overleveraging land investments
[00:23:02] Misconception 4: Selling land is like selling a home
[00:23:40] Selling land is not like selling a home
[00:29:30] Conclusion and final thoughts
Resources and Links
Texas Land Guys Podcast
Tom Dosch
Tim Dosch
