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Just eight days ago, all the remaining living hostages held by Hamas came home—a moment of euphoria mixed with sorrow and relief throughout Israel. President Trump celebrated with Israel in the Knesset, hailing “the historic dawn of a new Middle East.” But has peace really broken out? Hamas continues to violate the ceasefire, executing its own civilians and attacking Israeli forces. To help us understand Israel’s current security situation, I’m sitting down once again with Dr. Eric Mandel, founder and director of the Middle East Political Information Network. Eric just returned from a whirlwind trip throughout Israel, including Gaza, the northern borders, and meetings with high-ranking military and political leaders. We discuss Turkey and Qatar as emerging primary threats equal to Iran, Israel’s dependence on President Trump, the fault lines in the ceasefire plan, and whether Netanyahu’s government can survive. Join us for this critical analysis.
Key Facts
Guest Expert: Dr. Eric Mandel—founder/director Middle East Political Information Network (MEPIN); senior security editor Jerusalem Report; just returned from Israel trip including Gaza and northern borders
Ceasefire Violations: Living hostages returned October 13th; Hamas violating President Trump’s 20-point plan—stalling return of murdered captives, refusing disarmament, executing 30+ civilians publicly, attacking Israeli forces
Turkey & Qatar Now Primary Threats: Equal to Iran as Israeli threats; Muslim Brotherhood allies; Erdogan houses Hamas leadership, Turkey used for Hamas terror planning; Qatar’s $150B US influence, Al Jazeera poisoning millions
Israel’s Post-October 7th Strategy: Shifted from containment/management to preemption; Israel needs carte blanche like in Lebanon to respond to provocations or Hamas will escalate
Israel-Trump Dependency: Israel dependent on Trump approval for defensive actions; concern about partisan issue—Republicans pro-Israel but Democrats increasingly not; clock ticking on Trump administration
Netanyahu’s Political Future: Seeking legacy vindication with victories (hostages, Iran diminished, Hezbollah crippled, Assad gone); may collapse government early; needs distance from far-right Ben-Gvir for diplomatic success
Israel’s Dual Reality: Militarily strongest ever but diplomatically isolated worst since 1975; European allies pushing Palestinian state; Iran’s ring of fire remains (Hezbollah rebuilding, West Bank/Iraq focus, Sinai smuggling)
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