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Description

Dr. Claire Berlinski is a journalist, Oxford PhD, and author of The Cosmopolitan Globalist.

She invited me to her weekly symposium to make the case for AI as an existential risk.

Can we convince her sharp, skeptical audience that P(Doom) is high?

Subscribe to The Cosmopolitan Globalist: https://claireberlinski.substack.com/

Follow Claire on X: https://x.com/ClaireBerlinski

“If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by Eliezer Yudkowsky & Nate Soares — https://ifanyonebuildsit.com

Timestamps

00:00:00 — Introduction

00:02:10 — Welcome and Setting the Stage

00:06:16 — Outcome Steering: The Magic of Intelligence

00:10:40 — Collective Intelligence and the Path to ASI

00:12:53 — The Five-Point Argument

00:14:56 — The Alignment Problem and Control

00:17:56 — The Genie Problem and Recursive Self-Improvement

00:20:38 — Timeline: Five Years or Fifty?

00:26:14 — Social Revolution and Pausing AI

00:28:54 — Energy Constraints and Resource Limits

00:31:23 — Morality, Empathy, and Superintelligence

00:37:45 — How AI Is Actually Built

00:38:31 — Computational Irreducibility and Co-Evolution

00:44:57 — Foom and the Discontinuity Question

00:46:44 — US-China Rivalry and the Arms Race

00:49:36 — The Co-Evolution Argument

00:55:36 — Alignment as Psychoanalysis

00:57:24 — Anthropic’s “Harmless Slop” Paper

01:00:33 — Policy Solutions: The Pause Button

01:04:47 — Military AI and the Singularity

01:07:10 — Cognitive Obstacles and Doom Fatigue

01:09:07 — Why People Don’t Act

01:13:00 — Reaching Representatives and Building a Platform

01:17:12 — Sam Altman and the Manhattan Project Parallel

01:19:14 — Community Building and Pause AI

01:22:07 — Call to Action and Closing

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