Listen

Description

The speed and severity with which data from the US has collapsed over the last month is extremely unusual.  Why is the outbreak of inflation doing such damage so quickly. 

One reason is the way in which the US profits model has changed over the years, until since 2000 to the present day, 77.6% of Kalecki profits are attributable to household and government dissavings, whilst only 22.4% come from net investment and net exports.   Compare that to 1960-1980, when net investment and exports accounted for 65.7% of profits, with h'hold and govt dissavings generating only 34.3%. 

Let's state the obvious: if your profit model depends disproportionately on h'holds and governments spending more than the earn, sooner or later, even the strongest financial balance sheet will become impaired, fragile. And it's that financial fragility which is kicking in, and kicking down, right now. 



This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit mtaylor.substack.com/subscribe