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SPY/RSP

SPY is at all-time highs, led by semiconductors. Above all moving averages — being long is the play. Price is the only argument that matters here, and price is going up.

RSP basing at the 10 SMA after hitting resistance as expected. A two-day base formed and broke above. The bull case: reclaim 203, push to 205, then break out. As long as RSP holds above its moving averages, the market remains risk-on.

QQQ/QQQE

QQQ broke to all-time highs — one of the fastest recoveries ever seen. No reason to be on the sidelines. A flag and consolidation here before the next leg would be ideal. If setups are working, play them.

QQQE also broke all-time highs and retested. Now sitting at a decision point. A break above 107.50 likely leads higher. Rotation is happening in tech broadly — semiconductors are leading the charge.

MDY/IWM

MDY broke all-time highs and is retesting. A break above 668 opens the door to more upside. Healthy base forming right at the highs.

IWM building a six-bar base — small caps are digesting. A break above 278 would be significant and could trigger an explosive move. Small caps (300M–2B market cap) can see 50–60% moves when they get going. Risk management is critical if playing individual names in this space.

VIX

Sitting at the 200 SMA support zone, rejected prior resistance near the 20 SMA. Volatility looks likely to continue lower from here. Favorable for swing traders. Stay aware — anything can change — but current conditions support staying long and active in setups.



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