In this podcast David Hone, Chief Climate Change Adviser at Shell explains the principles of Scenario Analysis Methodology and how this can help businesses prepare for the future. The Pandemic has caused major disruptions, the Shell Scenario Team have analysed three pathways out of this crisis and their implications on climate.
- Waves: Countries focus on repairing the economy –with an emphasis on immediate recovery and return to status quo.
- Islands:Countries focus on the near-term recovery at home – security first. Resilience is understood as autonomy
- Sky 1.5:Countries focus on responding to the pandemic – health of humans first. This is followed by a growing emphasis on collaboration across the globe All three scenarios point to the need for speed in reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
