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Economist David Rosenberg warns Canada is effectively on “recession watch” for 2026: despite big Bank of Canada rate cuts, per‑person GDP and key credit‑sensitive sectors (housing, construction, manufacturing) are stagnant or shrinking, and headline growth looks weak. He expects a contraction in Q4 and argues inflation is no longer the main threat — instead the risk is persistent underperformance that deeper cuts may not fix.
Rosenberg says this weak response questions whether policymakers have done enough, and signals pressure on the loonie if the Bank keeps easing; the central choice ahead is whether cheaper money can revive demand or whether structural forces require different solutions.
Via Podbean AI