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More than 40% in US do not believe Biden legitimately won election – poll

民调显示,美国超过有40%民众不相信拜登当选的合法性

Axios-Momentive poll also finds majority of Americans fear repeat of Capitol attack in next few years

Axios-Momentive民调同样发现,大部分美国人害怕国会山暴乱在未来几年会重演

More than 40% of Americans still do not believe that Joe Biden legitimately won the 2020 presidential election despite no evidence of widespread voter fraud, according to a new Axios-Momentive poll.

根据新的Axios-Momentive民调,尽管没有证据能够证明广泛存在的选举舞弊,但超过40%的美国人仍认为乔·拜登没有合法赢得2020年总统大选。

The poll, released on the eve of the first anniversary of the attack on the Capitol by a pro-Trump mob, found that 55% of those surveyed believe Biden won the election. That figure has barely changed since Axios’s poll from 2020, published shortly before the insurrection. That poll, published in 2020, found 58% said that they accepted Biden as the legitimate winner of the presidential election.

该民调在特朗普支持者暴徒袭击国会山一年之际发布,结果发现有55%受访者认为拜登赢得了大选。Axios在2020年暴乱发生之前不久举行过民调,该比例自那以来基本没有发生变化。2020年公布的民调发现,58%的民众表示接受拜登作为总统大选的合法当选人。

Despite Biden’s inauguration, the attack on the Capitol and the multiple investigations that have debunked the lies pushed by the former president that the election was stolen, the poll suggests that the same level of doubt persists.

尽管拜登就职、国会山袭击的发生以及有多个调查拆穿了前总统编织的“大选被窃”的谎言,民调显示民众之中仍然存在相同水平的疑虑。

“It’s dispiriting to see that this shocking thing we all witnessed last year hasn’t changed people’s perceptions,” Laura Wronski, senior manager for research science at Momentive, told Axios.

“去年我们所见证的令人惊骇的事情竟然没有改变民众的看法,这真的令人沮丧,”Momentive研究科学高级经理Laura Wronski告诉Axios。

A majority of Americans also said they are expecting a repeat of the deadly 6 January attack in the next few years.

大多数美国人而且表示他们觉得未来几年内一月六日国会山的死亡暴乱将会重演。

The polls, conducted from 1 to 5 January of this year, surveyed nearly 2,700 adults, and found nearly 57% – about half of Republicans and seven in 10 Democrats – believe that events similar to the attack are likely to occur again.

今年的民调于1月1日至5日举行,调查了近2700名成年人,发现将近57%的美国民众,其中约一半共和党员和七成民主党员认为袭击类似案例有可能再次发生。

In addition, nearly two-thirds or 63% said that the 6 January attack has at least temporarily changed the way they think about their democratic government. A third said that those changes are temporary. Nearly as many, 31%, said that those changes are permanent.

另外,将近三分之二或63%民众表示一月六日袭击至少暂时性地改变了人民对于民主政府的看法。三分之一的人表示这些改变是暂时的,几乎同样比例,达31%的人表示这些改变是永久的。

Fifty-eight per cent of Americans said they supported the investigative work of the House select committee investigating the riot. Eighty-eight percent of Democrats support the inquiry, compared with 58% of independents and 32% of Republicans.

58%美国人表示支持众议院专门委员会对骚乱的调查工作。88%民主党人支持该调查,相较之下,有58%无党派人士和32%共和党人士支持调查。

Just slightly more than half of American adults, 51%, said individuals associated with the insurrection should face criminal penalties if they refuse to comply with subpoenas.

略超过半数(51%)的美国成年人表示,暴乱相关人士如果拒绝法院传票,应面临刑事处罚。

Republicans have also been revealed to be three or four times as likely as Democrats to say voter fraud is a problem in their state, despite such claims being thoroughly debunked.

民调还显示,尽管“大选被窃”这一论调已经被彻底戳破,在认为“自己所在州存在选举舞弊问题”上,共和党人士比例仍然是民主党人士的三到四倍多。

Wronski said she believes the results of the poll shows either “Biden hasn’t done enough” to push back against disinformation, or “it shows that he never had a chance”.

Wronski表示,她认为民调显示出,要么“拜登在回击蓄意传播虚假信息方面做得不够”,要么是“他压根没有机会这么做”。

She added: “The partisan division is still the story.”

她补充道:“政治割裂仍然在上演。”