What if almost nothing at the NFL Combine actually predicts success? Ryan went deep into the data — correlating height, weight, 40 time, vertical, bench, broad jump, shuttle, and three-cone results against NFL career value scores — and the results are humbling. Almost every metric across every position lands squarely in the "noise" category. But what emerged from the frustration is a powerful new way to think about prospect evaluation.

• Position-by-position correlation breakdown reveals almost zero signal in any individual combine drill, with the 40-yard dash showing some of the weakest predictive value of all
• Surprising inverse correlations: why slower 40 times, lower verticals, and weaker bench numbers sometimes trend with more successful players — and what that actually means
• The offensive tackle vertical jump mystery: a negative .314 correlation that challenges everything we assume about explosiveness
• Ryan introduces the "Craftsman vs. Weapon" framework — why how a player uses their physical tools matters far more than the tools themselves, and how to think about "buckets" when evaluating prospects at the Combine

Stop chasing the shiny 40 time and start asking the real question: can this player actually use what he's got? Subscribe and leave a review to keep the draft content coming.

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