Today, Steve Barton is joined by Michael Oliver, founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, for a high-stakes conversation on the future of global markets. Oliver delivers a sobering forecast: the stock market has officially peaked, and we may be entering one of the most severe downturns in modern history. But the surprises don't end there.
In a bold deviation from historical norms, Oliver argues that U.S. Treasury bonds—traditionally seen as a safe haven during equity crashes—are failing to provide cover. Instead, he identifies gold as the only remaining asset behaving like a true monetary refuge, while silver's price action signals a potentially explosive breakout ahead.
Oliver breaks down his momentum-based analysis across key sectors, revealing critical support and resistance levels for gold, silver, crude oil, and natural gas. He also dissects systemic risks in commercial real estate, the Fed's policy box, and why central banks may soon be forced into aggressive new interventions. If you're positioning for a macro reversal—or simply trying to protect your capital—this is a must-watch interview packed with actionable insight.
Connect with Michael Oliver!
Website: https://www.olivermsa.com/
Key Topics Discussed:
✅ Why Michael Oliver believes the stock market has already peaked
✅ The death of T-bonds as a reliable safe haven asset
✅ Gold's breakout: what the momentum signals are flashing now
✅ Silver's coiled-spring setup and potential run to $60+
✅ Actionable support and resistance levels for major assets
✅ Crude oil's "bear trap" and the technical case for a rebound
✅ Natural gas: signs of a bottom and upside from here
✅ How momentum analysis reveals market shifts before price does
✅ The critical resistance in the S&P and what's at stake
✅ Fed policy: why rate cuts won't save the markets this time
✅ Commercial real estate: the next systemic risk nobody's pricing
✅ Momentum-based insights into platinum, palladium, and copper
✅ Why silver may outperform gold in the next leg up
✅ The real reasons central banks are watching gold—not just China
✅ What history tells us about Fed interventions and market crashes
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Chapters:
00:00 Intro & Michael Oliver's Macro Outlook
04:55 The Stock Market Has Peaked: Here's Why
09:58 T-Bonds Collapse: Safe Haven No More
13:38 S&P 500 Momentum Breakdown & Fed Policy Risks
17:41 Gold's Breakout Behavior and Price Projections
31:06 Silver's Triple Top Breakout: Momentum Insights
32:51 Systemic Risk in Commercial Real Estate
40:11 Platinum, Palladium & What Bloomberg Index Reveals
47:56 Natural Gas: Has the Bottom Been Set?
53:25 Crude Oil's Bear Trap: Why $65 is Critical
54:04 Momentum in Retail Housing & Real Estate ETFs
58:23 What Could Flip Michael's Bullish Outlook on Gold?
01:02:09 Final Thoughts & Silver's Ascent Against Gold
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
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