Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for week 3.
Game Previews
Georgia at Tennessee (6:05 – 12:39)
Line: Georgia -3.5 (down from -7.5).
Smith: “I don’t really trust Gunner Stockton… it’ll be a run heavy approach on both sides.”
Stat: Georgia top 10 in rush success rate. First-time road starters are 3-10 straight up, 3-9-1 ATS.
Lean: Under 49.5, with Tennessee backers getting value if they grabbed +7.
Clemson at Georgia Tech (13:33 – 15:59)
Line fell from -9 to -3.5.
Smith: “This is a good buy low spot for Clemson.” Concern over GT QB Haynes King’s health and their 91st-ranked pass success rate.
Clemson’s defense and potential WR return could tilt the matchup.
Florida at LSU (17:24 – 23:12)
Line: LSU -7, total 48.5.
Florida’s discipline issues showed with 11 penalties for 101 yards.
Smith: “Under would be the only way I would look.” LSU’s defense is improving, while QB Lagway’s success depends on teammates cleaning up mistakes.
Texas A&M at Notre Dame (23:13 – 30:33)
Line: Notre Dame -7, total 49.5.
Smith stresses urgency: “This is a must win for Notre Dame.”
Player stat: Jeremiah Love had 14 touches for 78 yards; Smith insists he must see 20+ carries.
A&M ranks outside top 100 in 3rd/4th down success rate.
Lean: Notre Dame under 7 and under the total.
Best Bets (31:47 – 35:15)
Lonte Smith: Southern Miss +2.5. “I think Southern Miss wins this game outright.” He cites App State’s struggles against weak opponents and the Marshall-to-Southern Miss coaching/player pipeline.
Griffin Warner: Tennessee +3.5. “It’s great to be a Tennessee Vol.” He backs the Knoxville home-field edge against Georgia.
Takeaway
The discussion highlights Florida’s lack of discipline, the volatility of young QBs like Stockton, and Notre Dame’s must-win spot. The week closes with confidence in two home underdogs—Southern Miss and Tennessee—as the sharpest plays.
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