Munaf Manji and Lonte Smith talk NFL season long player props and much more.
The 2025 NFL season kicks off with Pregame’s Props Podcast diving into NFL player props and futures betting. Host Munaf Manji (0:05–0:59) returns after last year’s success, joined by Lonte Smith from the College Football Podcast, ready to break down the best season-long prop bets across quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends.
By the one-minute mark (0:59–1:18), Lonte expresses excitement for profitability and preparation as kickoff approaches. Munaf (1:18–2:34) lays out the plan: four props each across positions, reminding listeners to shop for the best numbers.
Quarterbacks open the show. Lonte (2:35–4:16) takes Justin Herbert under 3,650.5 yards, pointing to Jim Harbaugh’s run-heavy approach, the addition of Najee Harris, Herbert’s injury history, and a tough AFC West. Munaf (4:16–6:21) agrees, highlighting Herbert’s inconsistency, weak defenses inflating numbers last year, and how divisional upgrades could suppress his totals.
Munaf (6:24–8:59) then targets J.J. McCarthy under 3,650.5 yards. The rookie Viking, fresh off an ACL recovery, faces high expectations equal to top-12 rookie seasons all time. With Justin Jefferson’s hamstring, Addison’s suspension, and a run-first scheme with Aaron Jones, he calls the over unrealistic. Lonte (9:00–10:45) echoes that McCarthy isn’t a gunslinger and won’t consistently reach 300 yards weekly.
Running backs bring debate. Lonte (11:22–12:53) bets Breece Hall over 5.5 rushing TDs, boosted by Justin Fields creating lighter boxes and red-zone chances. Munaf (12:59–15:45) takes the opposite side, fading Hall’s rushing yards under 850.5 due to offensive line issues, Fields’ dual-threat style, and negative game scripts forcing the Jets to pass.
Receivers headline next. Lonte (18:41–19:32) backs Tyreek Hill over 980.5 yards, calling it a buy-low after last season’s 959 yards. Munaf (21:07–23:21) supports the case, noting Hill’s 82 career TDs and Miami’s playoff-or-bust year. Munaf (23:22–25:33) also hammers Mike Evans over 950.5 yards, citing his decade-long 1,000-yard streak, Mayfield’s trust, and a thin Bucs WR corps.
Tight ends feature with Lonte’s favorite play (28:13–30:52): Tyler Warren over 575.5 yards. A first-round pick in an empty Colts WR room, Warren projects as a focal point. Munaf (31:14–35:11) agrees, pointing to his 6’6” frame and red zone upside. For his final pick, Munaf (31:14–35:11) highlights Drake London over 1,225.5 yards, citing Michael Penix Jr.’s arm and London’s 100-catch, 1,271-yard 2023. Lonte (35:12–37:08) compares London to Mike Evans and sees expanded slot usage boosting targets.
They close with bonus leans: George Pickens over 875.5 yards in Dallas’ pass-first system (38:00–39:19), Bucky Irving over 1,000.5 rushing yards if he seizes RB1 (41:27–43:49), and Matthew Stafford unders given lingering back injuries (43:50–44:55). Both spotlight C.J. Stroud (44:59–49:14) as a breakout candidate with new weapons, betting angles pointing to potential MVP value at 25–30/1.
This debut 2025 Props Podcast underscores why NFL season-long player prop betting is surging: sharp handicapping, injury context, scheme fits, and matchup analysis. From Herbert and McCarthy unders to Hill, Evans, Warren, and London overs, the insights offer bettors actionable edges for the new season.
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