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January’s blockbuster jobs report shattered the weak labor narrative and pushed expected Fed cuts further out. Add a CBO outlook with deeper deficits and higher‑for‑longer yields, and the path to 2026 rate cuts looks even murkier.

Today’s recommended read: Trump rate hopes and CBO budget math don't chime, by Mike Dolan

Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest

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