In this episode, Nik brings us a timely update on the path of interest rates in the United States, including a look at Treasury yields and the yield curve, an exploration into the "Trump trade" of a yield curve steepener, the latest with Fed cut expectations, and some bitcoin valuation analysis. Make sure you get your mortgage refinance applications ready, as rates are coming down.
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The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.
The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti
Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball
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Chapters:
00:00:00 - The Impact of Declining Interest Rates on Markets
00:02:23 - The Dominant Risk: Unemployment
00:04:43 - Bull Market for Treasuries
00:07:08 - Predicting Lower Treasury Rates
00:09:31 - Locking in a Lifetime Offer
00:11:37 - The Trump Steepening Trade
00:14:03 - Potential Interest Rate Cuts Before Christmas
00:16:24 - The Relationship between Sofer Usage and the Market
00:18:32 - Repo Markets and Bitcoin Valuation
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The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
