China retaliates to Trump's retaliation to China's tit-for-tat response to tariffs; downward pressure continues as markets trying to recalibrate with a moving tariff target; there are cracks appearing in the treasury market from the basis trade; what will the Fed do? Lance explains the latest gyrations in markets and the sharp rise in bond yields. Basis trade explained; appears to be at 20X leverage: Is someone getting margin calls and liquidating? Tariffs are not the issue here; will the Fed step in? Wall Mart reports earnings, but cannot provide guidance until tariff trouble is resolved. How much money does it take to move markets one-point? Slowing economy = less demand = high unemployment. It's going to get worse before it gets better. There is an alarming trend of 401k early withdrawals; "leakage" has been a problem for a while. Lance and Danny examine the eruption in the bond market; don't over react. The VIX has spiked, but is moderating. What will the Fed do? The best tariff trade is the Roth conversion.
SEG-1: Tit-for-tat on Tariffs
SEG-2: What is the Basis Trade?
SEG-3: It's Going to Get Worse Before It Gets Better
SEG-4: Eruption in the Bond Market
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's full show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_zfOuvXVw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2705s
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/
"Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/
"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/
"The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Yields Belie Market Instability," is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnT6n_NY_tY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally; What's Next?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLv00PZtAHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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