As we went to air this morning, Space-X astronauts are "space-walking," testing new spacesuits; is Elon Musk the real-live equivalent of Tony Stark? CPI prints cooler--but core CPI was hotter than expected. MEanwhile the NFIB Survey (showing conservative bent) shows increases in confidence wiped out as Harris capmaigns; policy matters. Markets Big Reversal on Nvidia commentary about AI chip demand; the news boosted markets to a 2.5% gain. CPI is a hot mess: Inflation is different for everyone; the important question is how CPI will affect markets. Lance and Michael discuss how CPI is calculated; what if shelter costs do not lag and remain elevated? The impact of healthcare costs and energy on CPI; oil price corellation with inflation. The Adobe Digital Price Index compares online shopping price trends. Volatility ETF's: Why don't the wrk very well? Going long with low volatility/shorting on high volatility; how we gambled and missed buy one day. Why Volatility ETF's are like Thanksgiving turkeys. Charting policy differences between Harris vs Trump campaigns. Tariffs & Taxes analysis: How do they affect productivity? Higher taxes on a smaller pie, or lower taxes on a bigger pie? Taxes remove capital from the market place, which could otherwise be spent on innovation & productivity.
SEG-1: Markets' Big Reversal Day
SEG-2: CPI is a Hot Mess
SEG-3: Volatility ETF's: Why don't they work well?
SEG-4: Tariffs, Taxes, & Policy Analysis
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gn_rLnZURQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
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Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cash-cow-clues-can-dividend-yields-forecast-interest-rates/
"S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/
"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/
"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Test Resistance" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "What's Really Behind Stock Market Volatility"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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