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In an essay commemorating the end of World War II, Providence editor Dr. Paul Miller argues that increased global anarchy and democratic decline are pushing US towards another global war. “The question is not whether there will be conflict,” Miller writes, “but when, what kind, and how large.”

In this episode of the Provcast, editor at large Robert Nicholson asks Miller to unpack his argument and respond to those who might see him as “Chicken Little”—or the Trojan priestess Cassandra, as he describes it in the essay—who warns of disasters that never come. Is the US really doing that badly? Are we really facing the possibility of World War III?

Moving from Russia and China to our own backyard, Miller explains his reasoning in light of the last five years with typical verve. He touches on the Afghanistan withdrawal, the Alaska summit, the problem with “spheres of influence” thinking, and the (few) times he feels Trump got it right. Admitting that his warnings may strike some as hollow, he adds: “Don’t forget what happens at the end of the Boy Who Cried Wolf. There is a wolf in that story.”