Introduction:
In this episode, Josh Alexander and Patrick delve into the latest economic indicators for September, focusing on metrics that influence the DFW real estate market. They discuss inflation, interest rates, the labor market, and the potential impact of recent natural disasters. Tune in to gain valuable insights on how these factors affect real estate investments and market stability.
Key Highlights:
- Inflation cooling as per the PCE report, suggesting upcoming interest rate cuts.
- Cap rates, particularly in multifamily housing, are starting to decrease.
- Job openings have increased, but the quits rate has significantly dropped, indicating a cautious labor market.
- Effects of recent hurricanes on property insurance premiums and real estate markets.
- Political and economic uncertainties' implications on mortgage rates and market stability.
Quotes:
- "Inflation is being tamed, as shown by the PCE numbers—an encouraging trend for all of us in commercial real estate." – Josh Alexander
- "Cap rates have probably peaked, especially in multifamily, and are starting to come back in." – Josh Alexander
- "The quits rate is down, indicating people are more hesitant to leave their jobs, reflecting a cautious labor market." – Josh Alexander
- "Major weather events like hurricanes could impact insurance premiums and market conditions." – Josh Alexander
References:
- ALX's Economic Indicators Dashboard: alxrealestate.com/economic-indicators