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Hard to forget a crying baby--whether you’re in a Maine diner, on a podcast, or if he’s standing next to you on the debate stage.

 

When polling is the story: The GOP debate

This week the GOP debate makes big news, especially the polling leading up to the debate.

WSJ: WSJ/NBC poll

Fox News article

Fox News Poll

Bloomberg: Trump Dominates in pre-debate poll

CBS Poll

 

And the Dems?

While not as big news as the GOP pre-debate polling, new polls confirm the primary narrows somewhat.

 

WSJ: Clinton loses ground with white women

WMUR: Granite State Poll

 

Top pollster takes Boy Scout oath

We talk to Lee Miringoff from Marist about their decision to not be part of the pre-debate polling.

Politico: Marist suspends polling

McClatchy: Marist suspends polling to avoid being part of debate

Miringoff: 10 reasons polls should not determine debate eligibility

 

Key Findings:

Polling is as much the story this week as the debate. But when pollsters find that troubling, then I think that’s a problem.

Even with all the polling, some story lines--like Trump’s bump, or Sanders vs. Clinton--end up being rorschach tests anyway.

If the polls are driving campaign news this far out, we have a long campaign ahead of us. Make sure you have subscribed!

Lastly, Maura Duggan has been the best intern ever! Thanks Maura!

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