Michael welcomes UK-based triathlon coach and data analyst Russ Cox to unpack Ironman’s major overhaul of its World Championship slot allocation system. Drawing on his 14 years of statistical modeling and 16 years of coaching experience, Russ explains how Ironman’s shift from participation-based to performance-adjusted qualification is reshaping who gets to Kona — and what that means for athletes, coaches, and the broader triathlon community.
- The origins of Coach Cox’s Ironman results database and its evolution from manual HTML scraping to modern race analytics
- Key environmental and geographic factors influencing Ironman course speed (heat, humidity, elevation, wind, road surface)
- The 2024–25 transition from the legacy slot allocation system to Ironman’s new performance-adjusted ranking model
- How adjustment factors are derived from the top 20 % of Kona finishers by age group
- Implications of a single combined men’s/women’s pool and early evidence of gender and age-group skew
- Why 50–54-year-old men have disproportionately benefited, and how that may (or may not!) self-correct over time
- Effects on athlete race choice, qualification strategy, and how coaches can advise under the new framework
- Practical guidance on interpreting adjusted times and using Russ’s online tools to benchmark Kona qualification potential.
