In this episode, I dive into one of the most perplexing financial phenomena of 2025 — the S&P 500's explosive rally to new all-time highs. Despite no rate cuts, no fiscal stimulus, and no major breakthroughs, the market has surged more than expected — a "four sigma event" that's occurred only 0.4% of the time in the past 35 years. We break down how psychology, not fundamentals, is fueling this run — a blend of greed, fear, and herd mentality that could set the stage for a painful day of reckoning when reality hits.
Key Takeaways:
The S&P 500's rally is a four standard deviation event — statistically almost impossible.
Markets are being driven by emotion, not fundamentals, as fear turns into unchecked greed.
Without fiscal stimulus or Fed cuts, this could be a short-lived rally before a major correction.
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