Michael Oliver, founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, returns for Part 2 to challenge the validity of the gold 8-year cycle and deliver a sharper perspective on market momentum and central bank policy. He explains why the limited history of legalized gold undermines long-term cycle theories, and instead emphasizes momentum-based signals as more reliable indicators for investors.
Michael outlines the significant influence of central bank actions—particularly money printing and interest rate manipulation—on gold and silver markets. He argues that rather than falling during a market downturn, precious metals are likely to rise as fiat currencies weaken. He also highlights the early stages of a commodity super-cycle, with oil, copper, and silver showing strong breakout potential. Notably, silver is projected to surpass previous highs, and miners could outperform the metals themselves by two to three times.
The discussion extends to broader asset classes, including the weakening U.S. dollar, underperformance in commercial real estate, and overvaluation in India's stock market. Oliver's analysis presents a clear message: traditional safe havens may falter, and investors should prepare for shifts in momentum across global markets.
Connect with Michael Oliver!
Website: https://www.olivermsa.com/
🔥 Key Topics Discussed
✅ Debunking the gold 8-year cycle myth
✅ Impact of central bank policies on gold and silver
✅ Why momentum analysis beats cycle theory
✅ Outlook for gold and silver miners
✅ Silver's breakout potential beyond $70
✅ Rising momentum in oil and copper markets
✅ Bloomberg Commodity Index trend signals
✅ Risks facing the U.S. dollar and real estate
✅ Valuation concerns in India's stock market
✅ Where investors should focus in a shifting market
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Chapters:
00:00 Welcome and gold cycle discussion
02:28 Central bank impact on gold and silver
05:36 Metals versus miners' performance outlook
08:34 Oil costs and mining margins
13:32 Risk and reward levels for silver miners
18:31 When to consider reducing miner positions
21:58 SIL vs SILJ investment preference
25:04 SIL compared to GDX performance
26:02 Dollar index relationship with silver
31:24 Platinum breakout and commodity signals
34:16 Copper momentum and long-term trend
36:30 Commercial real estate market concerns
39:52 Rising debt pressure in real estate
40:40 Bubble risk in India's equity markets
43:19 Final thoughts and how to follow Michael Oliver
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
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