Statistics can't see causal relationships directly, but that doesn't mean we can't reason about them. We look at the sorts of errors that get made in explanations of stuff, and a bunch of case studies ranging from being gay and doing crimes to COVID.
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References:
Thacher, D. (2003). Order maintenance reconsidered: Moving beyond strong causal reasoning. J. Crim. L. & Criminology, 94, 381.
William Bratton, George Kelling (December 2014). "Why we need Broken Windows policing". City Journal. Accessed 8th Oct 2022.
Wilson, James Q.; Kelling, George L. (March 1982). "Broken Windows". www.theatlantic.com. Accessed 8th Oct 2022.
Watts, T. W., Duncan, G. J., & Quan, H. (2018). Revisiting the marshmallow test: A conceptual replication investigating links between early delay of gratification and later outcomes. Psychological science, 29(7), 1159-1177.
Shoda, Y., Mischel, W., & Peake, P. K. (1990). Predicting adolescent cognitive and self-regulatory competencies from preschool delay of gratification: Identifying diagnostic conditions. Developmental psychology, 26(6), 978.
Beirne, P. (1993). Inventing Criminology: Essays on the rise of'homo criminalis'. SUNY Press.
Bitterman, A. (2021) Twitter posts about ivermectin impact: https://twitter.com/AviBittMD/status/1461076939192602628
Alexander, S. (2021) Ivermectin: much more than you wanted to know, https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ivermectin-much-more-than-you-wanted
The video version of this episode is at https://youtu.be/1RF2_cLBgig
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