Dump your tech because this sector is booming and we are going to tell you what it is! Today we talk the sharp risk-off shift across markets as recent selloffs in crypto, precious metals, and especially technology reflect excessive greed being unwound rather than a systemic collapse. This is not a buy-the-dip environment, and you shouldn't be chasing volatility-heavy assets like crypto and metals too early. We also highlight a clear rotation of liquidity away from growth and speculative assets into value-oriented, defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples, industrials, utilities, energy, and select international stocks, as these boring, low-beta areas are sometimes outperforming amid tech weakness, layoffs, earnings disappointments, and rising macro uncertainty, making capital preservationn and patience more important than chasing rebounds.
We discuss...
- Markets are undergoing a clear risk-off rotation, with speculative assets like tech, crypto, and precious metals selling off after periods of extreme greed and overcrowded positioning.
- Precious metals remain in a long-term bull market but may require one to two years of consolidation before sustainably moving higher.
- Crypto's sharp drawdowns and volatility are described as a feature, not a flaw, but current volatility suggests it is not yet an attractive risk-reward entry.
- Capital is rotating into value and defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples, utilities, energy, and industrials.
- Value stocks are outperforming growth stocks, marking a notable regime shift from the past decade's market leadership.
- Defensive, cash-flow-generating businesses are highlighted as portfolio stabilizers during periods of market stress.
- Weakening labor market data and rising layoffs are adding to macro uncertainty and undermining the soft-landing narrative.
- Correlations across risk assets are rising, reducing the diversification benefits of traditionally speculative assets like crypto.
- Market indices such as the NASDAQ are less reflective of pure tech weakness due to non-tech constituents providing offsetting support.
- Liquidity is described as moving like water, flowing out of stressed sectors and into areas showing relative strength.
- The January seasonal "risk-on" effect failed to materialize, suggesting macro forces are overpowering historical patterns.
- Short-term technical indicators show elevated volatility but not yet a definitive structural breakdown.
- Investors are encouraged to focus on where money is flowing rather than what looks cheap after a selloff.
Today's Panelists:
Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors
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For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/this-sector-is-booming-789
