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This week I covered GPT 5.2, which I concluded is a frontier model only for the frontier.

OpenAI also gave us Image 1.5 and a new image generation mode inside ChatGPT. Image 1.5 looks comparable to Nana Banana Pro, it's hard to know which is better. They also inked a deal for Disney's characters, then sued Google for copyright infringement on the basis of Google doing all the copyright infringement.

As a probable coda to the year's model releases we also got Gemini 3 Flash, which I cover in this post. It is a good model given its speed and price, and likely has a niche. It captures the bulk of Gemini 3 Pro's intelligence quickly, at a low price.

The Trump Administration issued a modestly softened version Executive Order on AI, attempting to impose as much of a moratorium banning state AI laws as they can. We may see them in court, on various fronts, or it may amount to little. Their offer, in terms of a ‘federal framework,’ continues to be nothing. a16z issued their ‘federal framework’ proposal, which is also nothing, except also that you should pay them.

In non-AI content [...]

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Outline:

(01:41) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility

(03:44) Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility

(04:38) Huh, Upgrades

(08:21) On Your Marks

(10:22) Choose Your Fighter

(13:56) Get My Agent On The Line

(18:25) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon

(21:21) Fun With Media Generation

(24:12) Copyright Confrontation

(24:39) Overcoming Bias

(26:29) Unprompted Attention

(27:25) They Took Our Jobs

(30:06) Feeling the AGI Take Our Jobs

(35:48) The Art of the Jailbreak

(36:08) Get Involved

(38:08) Introducing

(38:57) Gemini Flash 3

(40:58) In Other AI News

(41:36) Going Too Meta

(46:14) Show Me the Money

(46:51) Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble

(48:38) Quiet Speculations

(50:42) Timelines

(51:45) The Quest for Sane Regulations

(54:47) My Offer Is Nothing

(01:03:03) My Offer Is Nothing, Except Also Pay Me

(01:07:26) Chip City

(01:14:09) The Week in Audio

(01:15:23) Rhetorical Lack Of Innovation

(01:25:51) People Really Do Not Like AI

(01:29:58) Rhetorical Innovation

(01:33:11) Bad Guy With An AI

(01:35:33) Misaligned!

(01:37:07) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult

(01:40:00) Mom, Owain Evans Is Turning The AIs Evil Again

(01:46:50) Messages From Janusworld

(01:49:55) The Lighter Side

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First published:

December 18th, 2025


Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yZ5Aq3iJYMvpZjrqb/ai-147-flash-forward

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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Images from the article:

Two bar graphs comparing model accuracies on FrontierScience-Olympiad and FrontierScience-Research datasets.
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Histogram comparing human and AI density distributions of GetDrive Surplus to Seller percentage.
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Collage showing Lightcone Infrastructure fundraising page, AI research documents, and Lighthaven campus aerial view.
Two bearded men posing outdoors, one wearing gold hat.
Table comparing performance benchmarks across AI models including Gemini, Claude, and GPT versions.
AI researcher concerned about creating superintelligence versus person demanding profit margin increases.
Bar chart showing price-earnings ratios across three market bubbles by company size.
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Bar graph showing favorable versus unfavorable opinions of seven tech companies.
Bar chart showing American adults' concerns about AI dangers and regulatory priorities.
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Bar graph showing survey results on AI's impact on work.
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Graph showing AI model capabilities for self-replication over time by model type.
AI chat interface showing thinking process about analyzing Firefox extension code with competitive concerns highlighted.
Developer discussion screenshot about examining compatibility and logic for gecko_android key implementation and Android compatibility concerns.
Discussion thread about reconciling code updates and AI-generated technical analysis.
Peter Wildeford tweets:
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Yellow hand making peace sign gesture emoji
⛓️‍💥

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