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Description

The odds are against you and the situation is grim.

Your scrappy band are the only ones facing down a growing wave of powerful inhuman entities with alien minds and mysterious goals. The government is denying that anything could possibly be happening and actively working to shut down the few people trying things that might help. Your thoughts, no matter what you think could not harm you, inevitably choose the form of the destructor. You knew it was going to get bad, but this is so much worse.

You have an idea. You’ll cross the streams. Because there is a very small chance that you will survive. You’re in love with this plan. You’re excited to be a part of it.

Welcome to the always excellent Lighthaven venue for The Curve, Season 2, a conference I had the pleasure to attend this past weekend.

Where [...]

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Outline:

(02:53) Overall Impressions

(03:36) The Inside View

(08:16) Track Trouble

(15:42) Let's Talk

(15:45) Jagged Alliance

(18:39) More Teachers' Dirty Looks

(21:16) The View Inside The White House

(22:33) Assume The Future AIs Be Scheming

(23:29) Interlude

(23:53) Eyes On The Mission

(24:44) Putting The Code Into Practice

(25:25) Missing It

(25:54) Clark Talks About The Frontier

(27:04) Other Perspectives

(27:08) Deepfates

(32:13) Anton

(32:50) Jack Clark

(33:43) Roon

(34:43) Nathan Lambert

(37:49) The Food

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First published:

October 7th, 2025


Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/A9fxfCfEAoouJshhZ/bending-the-curve

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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Images from the article:

People gathered at an outdoor event near a white two-story house.
Quadrant chart showing concerns about misuse and misalignment, with colored sections.
A presentation slide showing fluid dynamics visualization titled
Timeline worksheet titled
Ducati motorcycle parked outside building with
A whiteboard displaying two questions about AI's future, with colorful sticky note responses. Markers and response collection box visible below.
Survey about AI capabilities with three questions using rating scales. QR code included.</p><p>The questions address:<br />
1. Current programmer speedup from AIs<br />
2. Future AI research capabilities<br />
3. Potential company-wide AI automation speedup
Presentation slide titled

The slide appears to be part of a presentation discussing key implications of AI development, including points about search spaces, adoption challenges, human-computer interaction, and the concept of "centaurs" in AI context. It's formatted as a bulleted list with several main points and sub-points, displayed on what appears to be a projection screen." style="max-width: 100%;" />


The

The chart appears to be a scale measuring the impact of AI technology, structured similarly to the Richter scale used for earthquakes. It shows levels from 6 ("Atomic") to 10 ("Epochal"), with a note at level 6 indicating "AI has already passed this threshold." There are colorful dots scattered across the upper portion, and handwritten orange notes suggesting this scale may need revision." style="max-width: 100%;" />

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