~ Tayo thinks war between China and the US over Taiwan is inevitable. Upper echelons of the Chinese Communist Party (CPC) are promising mainland Chinese unification by 2049. The CPC is taking practical steps towards this objective by building up South China sea island bases and developing asymmetric warfare assets. Alarmingly, China's intentions for defending against a US counterattack seems predicated on battlefield tactical nukes. China is investing heavily in short range, small-yield nukes which would be particularly suitable for taking on an aircraft carrier fleet, for example. The good news is, China is not posturing to attack US mainland, nor even Japan.
~ Tony thinks that China is too intertwined with the global economy to risk war over Taiwan. Tony feels that the more economically integrated China becomes with everyone else, the less likely she will be to rock the boat or do anything to upset its march towards possible economic parity with even the US.
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