May 11, 2026 | Season 8 | Episode 15
Oil is back near the center of everything, and it’s forcing investors to hold two ideas at once: geopolitical risk is rising while U.S. stocks keep notching record highs. We walk through the morning’s market setup, from strong earnings and nonstop AI demand to the way higher crude can sneak into inflation expectations, bond yields, and Fed decision-making.
Then we go backward to go forward. John D. Rockefeller is often remembered as a monopolist, but the more useful investing lesson is how he built a system: rigorous bookkeeping, manufacturing-like refinery discipline, relentless waste reduction, and a supply chain he controlled end to end. That mindset helps us ask a better question about any company we own or want to own: what’s the durable process advantage that competitors can’t easily copy?
From there we hit the week’s biggest narratives: Barron’s bullish case for the S&P 500 moving toward 8,000, the post-Spirit Airlines reality that “ultra-cheap” airfare is fading, and why Delta and United increasingly look like loyalty and credit card businesses that happen to operate airplanes. We also cover Moderna’s pop on hantavirus headlines, what to look for in private credit through Ares Capital’s portfolio choices and payment-in-kind income, and what a Kevin Warsh-led Federal Reserve could signal on rates, the balance sheet, and a steeper yield curve.
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** For informational and educational purposes only, not intended as investment advice. Views and opinions are subject to change without notice.
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