Will the RBA Cut Rates August 2025?
Economic Shift, Inflation Trends, and Property Market Surge
In this episode, we break down Australia’s shifting economic landscape as the Reserve Bank prepares its August 2025 cash rate decision. After July’s unexpected hold, all eyes are on the incoming rate cuts, rising unemployment, and inflation trends – and what they mean for the property market.
Unemployment climbed from 4.1% in May to 4.3% in June, signalling an economic slowdown. Quarterly CPI rose 2.1%, with housing up 1.2%, food and non-alcoholic beverages up 1%, and health costs rising 1.5%. Property prices surged in almost every capital city: Darwin led with 2.9%, Sydney 0.8%, Melbourne 0.4%, Brisbane and Adelaide 0.7%, and Perth 0.9%, with only Hobart down 0.1%.
ASX indicators now price a 51% chance of a 0.5% cut, but with the RBA’s conservative approach, a 0.25% cut is more likely, followed by further reductions later this year. If you’re planning to purchase property in the next 12 months, this episode could save you thousands.
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