Description

It’s the Natty, and the market is getting emotional. Everyone is on Indiana right now — full “Cigs Inside” confidence. That matters because you’re usually paying a tax when the whole world crowds one side.

The Setup

Indiana’s been the steadier team: efficient, disciplined, and not beating themselves. Miami is the opposite vibe: higher ceiling, more speed, and the ability to flip a game with one explosive or short field.

Scott’s Pick: Indiana Wins

Scott’s riding the consistency. If this stays a clean, methodical, “don’t blink” championship game, he trusts Indiana to execute and close.

Marc’s Pick: Miami Wins + Miami +8.5

Marc is fading in the public's love and taking the points with the explosive team. If the game gets weird or turns into any kind of track meet, he thinks Miami has the playmakers to steal it — and +8.5 is too much.

Mark’s Bets

• 
  1H Under 24: championship games often start tight — conservative scripts, nerves, field position.
  
  
• 
  Mark Fletcher Over 68.5 rush: Miami’s best path is staying on schedule and leaning on the run early to avoid obvious passing downs.
  
  

Paths to Cash

Indiana: Stay clean, win field position, force Miami to earn every drive.
Miami: survive early, hit explosives, force Indiana to chase.

Either way — the board says Indiana. The Crazy Sheet is split.