Episode 781- ASS Projection System
Host: Justin Mason @JustinMasonFWFB
Co-Host: Dave McDonald @RunDMCD
Guest: Jon Anderson of RotoBaller @JonPGH
News
- Anthony Rendon “feeling healthy” - buying it?
- Fernando Tatis Jr. says shoulder is “close to 100%” - buying it?
- Gunnar Henderson taking reps at both 3B and SS - increase value?
- Hunter Dozier “primary 3B” w/ Lopez and Massey platooning at 2B?
Topics- You’ve developed your own projection system - ASS. What sets ASS apart from other projection systems? What does it account for that those don’t?
- Where can people find your projections?
- 5 players projected much better by ASS (Riley Greene?)
- 5 players projected much worse by ASS
- You have several different very useful Tableau dashboards
- 2023 ADP
- Kurland’s lineup tracker
- MLB Savant History
- 2022 Playoffs
- 2021 and 2022 Dashboards
- Which tabs are most useful in the offseason? In-season?
- Go through the most useful tabs on 2022 Dashboard and give quick explanation how to use them
- Change sliders, dates, included stats, download to Excel, other functions
- Tell people about your substack and what exactly that entails
- Season and daily projections
- Recent trends and standouts
- Will you highlight velocity, pitch usage changes, new pitches, contact rate, power gains/declines etc?
- Upcoming streamers and analyzing the schedule
- Prop betting sheets
- Daily notes on the previous day’s games
- Offseason Team previews and player ranks
- Let’s discuss how you will adjust for 2023 with the new changes going into effect:
- Shift Rule - who/what type of player benefits the most?
- Larger bases/Limited pitcher throw-overs - who/what type of player runs more (if any)?
- Pitch Clock - negative effect on slower pitchers?
- What’s the false flag? What do you think people will focus on too much that doesn’t actually matter?
- What strategy are you employing in your drafts to take advantage of values in 2023?
Quick Hits- What leagues do you play in?
- High Stakes?
- Home leagues?
- Industry leagues?
- What’s your biggest blindspot/weakness when it comes to fantasy baseball?
- Favorite post 300 picks - 1 hitter/1 pitcher
- Who’s the most overrated player for 2023 and why?
- Which 1st round picks do you have no interest in (if any)?
- Who’s your #1 overall pick?
- What player outside the top 150 ADP (from 1/13 - 2/6 Draft Champions NFBC ADP) could you see ending up as a 1st rounder in 2024 (injured players like Bryce Harper and current minor leaguers like Jordan Walker aside)?
- Were you Dr. Dave?
