What happened with the election polls in 2016? Can we trust the polls in 2020? This week we took a look at the methodology of polls and how accurate they are in actuality.
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Joakim Karud https://youtube.com/joakimkarud
Hosts: Michael Smedley and Kyle Shearer
Edited by Kitty Mader
Graphics by Annika Van Vlack
Sources:
https://academic.oup.com/poq/article/82/1/1/4837043
https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/10/the-pollster-who-thinks-trump-is-ahead/
https://www.vox.com/21524703/biden-trump-poll-lead-2016
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020/
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-supporters-arent-shy-but-polls-could-still-be-missing-some-of-them/
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-fivethirtyeights-2020-presidential-forecast-works-and-whats-different-because-of-covid-19/
Democrats are worried they can’t trust the 2020 state polls. Maybe they should be.
There’s only so much pollsters have been able to fix since 2016.
www.vox.com
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/09/why-2016-election-polls-missed-their-mark/
