What's happening in Ukraine is deeply entwined with the climate crisis. Its dependence on fossil fuels that's creating both of these crises. Russia is an expansionist state that exports fossil fuels. This is the structure of whats happening. As long as both of those conditions are present, we are going to have to worry about what Russia will do next. President-Elect Trump is not going to change either of those things, so if we're right then the best he can do is a temporary ceasefire, not permanently end Russian aggression.