**Track-by-Track Movement Analysis:**
- **Fairyhouse:** The Porterstown Handicap Chase (Listed) has seen significant odds shifts, with "The Big Breakaway" moving from 8/1 to 5/1 in the past 12 hours, indicating late money support[2].
- **Leicester:** The Belvoir Equine Veterinary & Dental Services Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase has seen "Gentleman De Mee" drop from 4/1 to 3/1, suggesting strong backing[2].
- **Carlisle:** The Racing TV Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle has "Ballybough Native" moving from 10/1 to 6/1, indicating a notable betting trend[2].
**Key Market Influences:**
- **Track Conditions:** Fairyhouse's yielding ground and Leicester's heavy ground are expected to impact race outcomes, favoring horses with form in similar conditions[2].
- **Jockey/Trainer Changes:** At Carlisle, a jockey change for "Ballybough Native" has seen its odds shorten, indicating market confidence[2].
**Money Flow Indicators:**
- **Unusual Betting Patterns:** Large wagers have been placed on "The Big Breakaway" at Fairyhouse, significantly altering the win pool[2].
- **Multi-Race Wager Trends:** The Pick 3 at Leicester has seen a surge in bets including "Gentleman De Mee," indicating strong multi-race wager support[2].
**Value Opportunities:**
- **Overlay Opportunities:** "Ballybough Native" at Carlisle offers value based on speed figures, currently priced at 6/1 despite strong recent form[2].
- **Undervalued Horses:** "The Big Breakaway" at Fairyhouse is undervalued in exotics, given its recent performance and late money support[2].
**Critical Race Factors:**
- **Pace Scenario Analysis:** The Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse is expected to have a fast pace, favoring horses with strong early speed[2].
- **Track Bias Reports:** Leicester's heavy ground is expected to favor horses with inside draws, particularly in the Belvoir Equine Veterinary & Dental Services Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase[2].
**Pool Analysis:**
- **Pool Sizes:** The win pool for the Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse is larger than average, indicating high betting interest[2].
- **Distribution of Money:** Exotic wagers at Leicester show a significant imbalance towards "Gentleman De Mee," suggesting a potential value play against this trend[2].
**Historical Context:**
- **Past Performance:** Horses with form in heavy ground, like those at Leicester, historically perform well in similar conditions[2].
- **Trainer Patterns:** Trainers with a history of success in listed races, such as those at Fairyhouse, often repeat this success in similar situations[2].
