My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad
NCAAB
Virginia Tech +8.5
Arizona St. +8.5
Toad Still Sports (Feb 17): College Basketball Picks + Breakdown — Virginia Tech +8.5 & Arizona State +8.5
Toad opens the show frustrated by a prolonged betting slump, then transitions into a Tuesday, February 17th college basketball-only episode. He recaps Monday’s loss tied to an unexpected Duke offensive outlier and updates his Bracketology notes, mentioning Utah Valley is banned from the WAC postseason for refusing an exit fee, which shifts the league’s bid outlook to Cal Baptist and weakens the tournament field. He breaks down multiple games with situational angles, market/ticket-and-cash splits, and pace/style notes, including BC–Florida State, Michigan–Purdue, Villanova–Xavier, Eastern Michigan–Central Michigan, South Carolina–Florida, North Carolina–NC State (noting Caleb Wilson’s injury), St. Louis–Rhode Island, Louisville–SMU, Miami (OH)–UMass, TCU–UCF, Kent State–Bowling Green, George Washington–VCU, Wisconsin–Ohio State, UT Martin–SEMO, Nebraska–Iowa, Baylor–Kansas State (including discussion of the fired coach “spark” angle as a one-game effect), Georgia–Kentucky, LSU–Texas, Nevada–San Jose State, Grand Canyon–San Diego State, and Minnesota–Oregon. Best bets are Virginia Tech +8.5 at Miami, citing Miami’s potential sandwich/look-ahead spot and Virginia Tech’s bounce-back effort after an embarrassing loss, and Arizona State +8.5 vs Texas Tech, citing Texas Tech’s major letdown spot after upsetting Arizona and a sharp role reversal from big underdog to big road favorite. He closes with where to follow/support the show and plugs the Loser Cast comedy podcast airing later that night.
00:00 Brutal Slump Montage: ‘I Don’t Want to Do This Anymore’
01:32 Show Intro & Reset: Date Check, Duke Outlier Loss, Bracketology Note
03:03 ACC Early Game Breakdown: Boston College at Florida State
04:57 Big Ten Spotlight: #1 Michigan at #7 Purdue (Side/Total & KenPom)
08:53 Big East Lean: Villanova at Xavier (Look-Ahead to UConn)
10:49 MAC Revenge Angle: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
14:14 SEC Mismatch & Effort Spot: South Carolina at #12 Florida
15:43 Ranked Underdog vs Unranked Favorite: UNC at NC State (Injury Factor)
20:07 A-10 Look-Ahead: St. Louis at Rhode Island (VCU on Deck)
22:11 ACC Bubble Vibes: #21 Louisville at SMU
23:49 Travel & Motivation Spot: Miami (OH) at UMass
26:55 Big 12 Bubble Battle: TCU at UCF
28:45 MAC Market Read: Kent State at Bowling Green
30:34 A-10 TV Game: George Washington at VCU (Possible Look-Ahead)
33:47 Best Bets Begin: Virginia Tech +8.5 vs Miami (Full Handicap)
37:42 Virginia Tech vs Miami: Tempo, balance, and road resilience (Play #1)
38:58 UCLA at Michigan State: Ugly losses, slow pace, and an under lean
41:54 UNC vs NC State: Misleading line, injury adjustment, and why to pass
43:54 Wisconsin at Ohio State: Ranked letdown spot and contrarian lean
45:56 UT Martin vs Southeast Missouri State: Revenge angle and home focus
47:42 Why late-season non-conference games pop up (conference challenges)
50:07 Nebraska at Iowa: Slow Hawkeyes at home and the Iowa moneyline case
52:37 Baylor at Kansas State: Losing streaks, market read, and coach-firing talk
56:55 Georgia at Kentucky + LSU at Texas: Bubble urgency vs public perception
59:52 Mountain West late-night: Nevada–SJSU and Grand Canyon–San Diego State
01:02:38 Minnesota at Oregon: Line move, ugly game script, and ML thoughts
01:04:21 Texas Tech at Arizona State: Letdown fade + final card and sign-off
#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab
