My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad
NCAAB
VCU +7.5
Toad Still Sports (Feb 20): VCU +7.5 at Saint Louis, A-10 Breakdown + NBA & Olympic Hockey Notes
Toad opens the show venting about a prolonged betting slump and recent losing runs, then shifts into Friday’s card discussion. He recaps the prior night’s college basketball results, including William & Mary losing at the buzzer to Campbell after leading late, The Citadel’s wild late push after being down big against Samford, and a Georgia State win that barely cleared. For today, he previews several college games but makes only one official play: VCU +7.5 at Saint Louis, citing a road-revenge spot after VCU’s poor-shooting loss in the first meeting, expected shooting regression, VCU’s win streak momentum, and a fade angle on Saint Louis after its 18-game streak ended vs Rhode Island; he also references KenPom metrics, luck, strength of schedule, line movement, and ticket/cash splits. He provides additional leans and spot notes on Akron–Ball State, St. Peter’s–Iona, Milwaukee–Detroit Mercy, Green Bay–Oakland (including Doug Gottlieb’s one-game suspension), Indiana–Purdue, Siena–Merrimack, and Bowling Green–Miami (OH). He then reviews the NBA slate without making official plays, discussing rest and momentum angles out of the All-Star break and giving thoughts on Cavs–Hornets, Pacers–Wizards (turnover outlier), Jazz–Grizzlies (injury-heavy), Heat–Hawks (Tyler Herro return), Mavericks–Timberwolves (no Flagg), Bucks–Pelicans (his closest consideration), Nets–Thunder, Clippers–Lakers, and Nuggets–Blazers. He briefly discusses Olympic hockey, expecting a U.S. vs Canada final and suggesting team totals as a possible approach, then closes with plugs for his socials, audio platforms, Patreon, the Loser Cast podcast, and the prior night’s bracketology video, and reiterates VCU as the day’s play.
00:00 Brutal Slump Montage: ‘I Hate This Board’
01:33 Show Intro + What’s on the Card Tonight (CBB only, quick NHL/NBA notes)
02:59 Recapping Last Night’s Bets: Bad Beats & Late-Game Chaos
06:27 Tonight’s Early Look: Akron vs Ball State (Spread Lean)
07:59 Best Bet Breakdown: VCU +7.5 at Saint Louis (A-10 Game of the Year)
14:01 MAAC Spot Play: St. Peter’s vs Iona (Revenge & Look-Ahead Angles)
16:00 Horizon League Notes + Doug Gottlieb Suspension Sideshow
19:39 Big Ten Spotlight: Indiana at Purdue Rematch (Public vs Value)
21:49 More MAAC: Siena at Merrimack (Road Revenge, Ugly Game Warning)
23:49 MAC Deep Dive: Bowling Green vs Undefeated Miami (OH) — Line Value Case
27:21 MAC Betting: Taking Bowling Green +Points vs Public Miami (OH)
28:08 NBA Board Setup: Post–All-Star Break Momentum & Rest Angles
30:00 Cavs at Hornets: Back-to-Back Spot, Lookahead Risk & Line Inflation
31:32 Pacers vs Wizards Rematch: Zigzag Bounce-Back + Turnover Outlier
32:54 Jazz at Grizzlies: Injury Mash Units, Tanking Signals & Market Disagree
35:49 Heat at Hawks: Rest Edge, Tyler Herro Return & Road Price Too High?
38:22 ESPN Doubleheader 1: Mavs at Wolves—No Flagg, Revenge Angle, Take Points
40:34 Bucks at Pelicans: Momentum Reset After Break & Why NOLA Is Favored
43:00 Nets at Thunder: Travel B2B vs OKC Rest—Can OKC Cover a Massive Number?
44:02 ESPN Doubleheader 2: Clippers at Lakers—Rest Advantage & Boston Lookahead
45:36 Nuggets at Blazers: Travel Sandwich Spot & Why Portland Is Live
47:34 Olympic Hockey Semis: US/Canada Finals Destiny + Team Total Approach
50:01 Miracle on Ice & Continuity: Why Chemistry Matters (Drake/Iowa Parallel)
54:12 Final Card & Sign-Off: VCU +Points, Where to Follow, What’s Next
#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab
My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad
NCAAB
VCU +7.5
#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab
