Shows
Mark Leonard's World in 30 MinutesTariffs, tensions, and trade: Trump’s gamble on ChinaTwo weeks after Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement shook global markets, he has now offered most countries a 90-day reprieve—while simultaneously escalating trade tensions with China by imposing harsher penalties. So far, China has responded by matching each tariff hike with its own response.This week, Mark Leonard welcomes Agathe Demarais, ECFR senior policy fellow and head of its geoeconomics initiative, and Janka Oertel, director of ECFR’s Asia programme, to delve into the complexities of the China-US trade war. Together, they explore the current tariff landscape, the strategies employed by both nations, and the implic...2025-04-1830 min
Mark Leonard's World in 30 MinutesTrump’s tariff bombshell: Rewriting the rules of global tradeIn this emergency room episode, Mark Leonard is joined by Agathe Demarais, ECFR senior policy fellow and geoeconomics team leader. They explore the dramatic implications of Donald Trump’s unexpected and aggressive tariff policies announcement on 2nd April—which he has dubbed “Independence Day.” Mark and Agathe discuss the economic shockwaves hitting the US—where tariffs threaten inflation and the acceleration of a looming recession—as well as their cascading effects on Europe and the global trade system. From the EU’s strategic retaliation options to the fracturing of globalisation, they ask: is this a fleeting disrupt...2025-04-0316 min
Le CollimateurDes échanges musclés. Les États-Unis, la Russie et nos guerres commercialesInvitée : Agathe Demarais, senior policy fellow à l’ECFR, autrice de Backfire (Columbia University Press, 2023)La philosophie économique de Donald Trump (3:30)La mise en place des tarifs douaniers (15:00)La Russie et ses sanctions (38:00)La soutenabilité de l’économie russe (59:00)Extrait audio : Bruno Le Maire sur le plateau de France info, 1er mars 2022 : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ntzacqlm-AcBibliographie : - L’épisode de Zeitgeist : https://podcasts.apple.com/fr/podcast/lair-de-casablanca-ou-l%C3%A9trange-obsession-de-trump/id1783616415?i=1000698480447- Articles d’Agathe Dem...2025-03-111h 16
Affaires étrangèresChine / États-Unis : la guerre commercialedurée : 00:59:21 - Affaires étrangères - par : Christine Ockrent - Qu'attendre de l'affrontement entre les États-Unis et la Chine, après une nouvelle hausse des droits de douane sur les importations de produits chinois ? Quels risques pour ces deux pays ? Quel impact sur l'économie mondiale ? - réalisation : Luc-Jean Reynaud - invités : Agathe Demarais Économiste, Responsable des travaux du Conseil Européen pour les Relations Internationales (ECFR) dans le domaine de la géoéconomie; Florence Pisani Cheffe économiste de Candriam et enseignante à l’université Paris Dauphine; François Chimits Economiste senior au Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) et é...2025-03-0859 minL'internationalChine / États-Unis : la guerre commercialedurée : 00:59:21 - Affaires étrangères - par : Christine Ockrent - Qu'attendre de l'affrontement entre les États-Unis et la Chine, après une nouvelle hausse des droits de douane sur les importations de produits chinois ? Quels risques pour ces deux pays ? Quel impact sur l'économie mondiale ? - réalisation : Luc-Jean Reynaud - invités : Agathe Demarais Économiste, Responsable des travaux du Conseil Européen pour les Relations Internationales (ECFR) dans le domaine de la géoéconomie; Florence Pisani Cheffe économiste de Candriam et enseignante à l’université Paris Dauphine; François Chimits Economiste senior au Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) et é...2025-03-0859 minAffaires étrangèresChine / États-Unis : la guerre commercialedurée : 00:59:21 - Affaires étrangères - par : Christine Ockrent - Qu'attendre de l'affrontement entre les États-Unis et la Chine, après une nouvelle hausse des droits de douane sur les importations de produits chinois ? Quels risques pour ces deux pays ? Quel impact sur l'économie mondiale ? - réalisation : Luc-Jean Reynaud - invités : Agathe Demarais Économiste, Responsable des travaux du Conseil Européen pour les Relations Internationales (ECFR) dans le domaine de la géoéconomie; Florence Pisani Cheffe économiste de Candriam et enseignante à l’université Paris Dauphine; François Chimits Economiste senior au Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) et é...2025-03-0859 min
Derisky BusinessAmerica First Investment Policy + Europe's Trump Strategy with Agathe Demarais Emily and Geoff catch up on the America First Investment Policy memo and other news from the last week, before sitting down with Agathe Demarais of the European Council on Foreign Relations to discuss how Europe is responding to Trump and the future of the transatlantic economic security relationship. (Note: This episode was recorded prior to reports on Wednesday that the Trump administration intends to apply 25% tariffs on EU goods.)
Register for a special CNAS conversation with Eddie Fishman who joins Emily to discuss his new book CHOKEPOINTS: American Power in the Age of Economic Warfare.
...2025-02-271h 07
CERIConflits et bouleversements tectoniques en EurasieConférence 11/02/2025 organisée à l’occasion de la publication de Regards sur l’Eurasie. L'année politique 2024, sous la direction d'Anne de Tinguy, dans la collection « Les Etudes du CERI » (n°277-278)
Stéphanie BALME, directrice du CERI - Introduction
Le choc de la guerre en Ukraine trois ans après le début de l’agression russe
Modérateur : Jacques RUPNIK, Sciences Po-CERI
Anne de TINGUY, Sciences Po-CERI et INALCO – « L’Eurasie face à la
multiplication des périls »
Silvia SERRANO, Sorbonne Université, Eur’Orbem et CERCEC – « Géorgie : des
mobilisations entre inquiétudes et créativité »
Gaïdz MINASSIAN, Sciences Po et Le Monde – « Arménie-Aze...2025-02-112h 54
Society of Professional Economists - Econ ThoughtsInterview with Agathe DemaraisFilippo Gaddo, SPE Councillor, held a discussion with Agathe Demarais, senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations. Demarais is the author of “Backfire”, a book on the global ripple effects of sanctions and export controls and is a regular columnist for Foreign Policy and a frequent commentator for the media.
Geopolitics has risen to prominence in the news for a while and it is now influencing the way we look at international economics. Filippo and Agathe discuss what 'Geo-economics' is and what are the geopolitical trends that will affect the global econ...2025-01-2837 min
Foreign Policy LiveSamatha Power’s Exit InterviewTop humanitarian aid official and longtime diplomat Samantha Power discusses lessons learned from her post at USAID and what she’d like to share with the next administration in this bonus episode.This conversation was taped before the passage of last week's Continuing Resolution.Suggested reading (FP links are paywall-free):Walter Kerr and Amanda Arch: U.S. Foreign Aid Is Broken but Fixable Agathe Demarais: Aid Is the Next Battleground Between China and the WestLaura Thornton: How a Second Trump Term Will Redefine Foreign Aid L...2024-12-2338 min
Mark Leonard's World in 30 MinutesA fragmented world: Europe’s geoeconomic dilemmasAs the world becomes increasingly disordered and fragmented, Europe faces mounting geoeconomic challenges on multiple fronts: Russia’s war in Ukraine, China’s ambitions in Taiwan, and the uncertain future of transatlantic relations under Donald Trump. To remain relevant, European policymakers must step up and approach supply chains, trade rules, investment flows, and energy policy as indispensable elements of statecraft.This week Mark Leonard welcomes Agathe Demarais, ECFR’s geoeconomics lead, and Abraham Newman, professor at the School of Foreign Service and the Department of Government at Georgetown University, and co-author of Underground Empire: How America Weapon...2024-12-1335 min
Diario de UcraniaDiario de Ucrania - Siria y la inflación destapan la debilidad de Rusia¿Qué impacto tendrá en la guerra de Ucrania la caída de Bachar al Asad en Siria? ¿Por qué Rusia no ha podido o no ha querido seguir apoyando al dictador sirio? Se lo preguntamos a Mariano López de Miguel, Doctor en Historia Contemporánea, especialista en Asia Central, el Cáucaso y los Balcanes. Además, hablamos de los síntomas de debilidad que está mostrando la economía rusa, con una inflación desbocada y el rublo en el punto de mira. Lo analizamos con Agathe Demarais, investigadora principal sobre Geoeconomía en el European Council on Foreign Rela...2024-12-1122 min
Foreign Policy LiveAmerica Votes: What It Means for AsiaAs China’s influence grows in Asia and around the world, how will the next U.S. president manage Washington’s most important relationship? And beyond China, how do Donald Trump and Kamala Harris compare in their approach toward other Asian countries? In the fifth and final episode of a special election series, FP’s Ravi Agrawal speaks with Ryan Hass and Lynn Kuok. Suggested reading (FP links are paywall-free):Lili Pike: How Does the U.S.-China ‘Cold War’ End?Agathe Demarais: Why China Is Rooting for Trump2024-11-0135 min
Mark Leonard's World in 30 MinutesChina’s trade challenges for the European economyEU member states have voted to implement proposed tariffs of up to 45 per cent on Chinese electric vehicles. Germany was among five member states to vote against this, isolating itself among its counterparts. In response to the vote, China imposed anti-dumping measures on European brandy imports. But if geopolitical tensions escalate, the EU’s most substantial leverage might involve limiting China’s access to its markets.This week Mark Leonard welcomes Agathe Demarais, ECFR geoeconomics programme lead, and Janka Oertel, director of ECFR’s Asia programme, to discuss the implications of EU economic sanctions on China. What does...2024-10-2535 min
Women LeadersIt's the economy, stupid - and sanctionsThe focus on the defence aspects of the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine often draws attention from the economic war taking place in parallel. Every few weeks the US or the EU drop another packet of sanctions on Russia, in attempts to hinder its capacity to pursue the war — and in absolute lockstep a wave of analyses, data and disinformation will appear, largely rubbishing the sanctions and their effects. In this way the EU this week dropped its 14th round of sanctions, and Russia put out another series of messages about the EU harming itself more than Russia. It is...2024-06-2837 min
Mark Leonard's World in 30 MinutesShifting sands: The geoeconomic triumphs of the GulfAmid growing geopolitical fragmentation and the rise of middle powers, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia stand out for their successful attempts to reinvent themselves as regional linchpins. Despite having to operate within an increasingly difficult economic environment, the Gulf states have simultaneously expanded their ties with China, Europa, Russia, and the United States and reaped remarkable economic rewards in the process. In this week’s episode, Mark Leonard welcomes senior policy fellow Agathe Demarais, visiting fellow Cinzia Bianco, and policy fellow and Deputy Head of ECFR’s Paris office, Camille Lons, to discuss the geoeconomi...2024-04-1228 min
Mark Leonard's World in 30 MinutesDe-risking and its impact on the global economyA few years ago decoupling was all the rage, but Western economies are now moving towards de-risking as they strive to reduce their economic reliance on China. A United States keen to preserve its technological superiority leads the way – and aims to bring its allies along for the ride. In this week’s episode, Mark Leonard welcomes ECFR senior policy fellow, Agathe Demarais, and senior director at risk advisory firm Global Counsel, Stephen Adams, to discuss de-risking and its impact on European countries and the global economy. Where did the phrase originate? What does de-risking mean...2024-03-1536 min
CERIL'Eurasie à l'épreuve d'une guerre longue en UkraineConférence du 26/02/2024 organisée à l’occasion de la publication de Regards sur l’Eurasie. L'année politique 2023, sous la direction d'Anne de Tinguy, dans la collection « Les Etudes du CERI » (n°273-274)
L’Étude du CERI n° 273-274 est en accès libre et exclusivement en version électronique sur notre site internet
Mot de bienvenue
Stéphanie BALME, directrice du CERI
Le choc de la guerre deux ans après le début de l’invasion russe
Modérateur : Christian LEQUESNE, Sciences Po-CERI
Anne de TINGUY, CERI-SciencesPo et INALCO – « Ni victoire ni paix, mais une montée des tensions »
Gilles FAVAREL-GARRIGUES, CNRS, CE...2024-02-262h 59
New Books in Russian and Eurasian StudiesChristine Abely, "The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine" (Cambridge UP, 2024)February 2024 will mark the tenth anniversary of Russia’s seizure of Ukrainian territory in Crimea and the Donbas and two years since its full-scale invasion.While military assistance from Ukraine’s allies has been gradual and cautious, retaliatory sanctions have been impressive. "The sanctions imposed against Russia beginning in late winter 2022 were sweeping, historic and rolled out with stunning rapidity,” writes Christine Abely in The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Cambridge University Press, 2023).Yet, until now at least, most Russians have been insulated from their effects. As the war reaches an attri...2023-12-2138 min
New Books in Political ScienceChristine Abely, "The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine" (Cambridge UP, 2024)February 2024 will mark the tenth anniversary of Russia’s seizure of Ukrainian territory in Crimea and the Donbas and two years since its full-scale invasion.While military assistance from Ukraine’s allies has been gradual and cautious, retaliatory sanctions have been impressive. "The sanctions imposed against Russia beginning in late winter 2022 were sweeping, historic and rolled out with stunning rapidity,” writes Christine Abely in The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Cambridge University Press, 2023).Yet, until now at least, most Russians have been insulated from their effects. As the war reaches an attri...2023-12-2138 min
NBN Book of the DayChristine Abely, "The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine" (Cambridge UP, 2024)February 2024 will mark the tenth anniversary of Russia’s seizure of Ukrainian territory in Crimea and the Donbas and two years since its full-scale invasion.While military assistance from Ukraine’s allies has been gradual and cautious, retaliatory sanctions have been impressive. "The sanctions imposed against Russia beginning in late winter 2022 were sweeping, historic and rolled out with stunning rapidity,” writes Christine Abely in The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Cambridge University Press, 2023).Yet, until now at least, most Russians have been insulated from their effects. As the war reaches an attri...2023-12-2138 min
New Books in European PoliticsChristine Abely, "The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine" (Cambridge UP, 2024)February 2024 will mark the tenth anniversary of Russia’s seizure of Ukrainian territory in Crimea and the Donbas and two years since its full-scale invasion.While military assistance from Ukraine’s allies has been gradual and cautious, retaliatory sanctions have been impressive. "The sanctions imposed against Russia beginning in late winter 2022 were sweeping, historic and rolled out with stunning rapidity,” writes Christine Abely in The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Cambridge University Press, 2023).Yet, until now at least, most Russians have been insulated from their effects. As the war reaches an attri...2023-12-2138 min
New Books in FinanceChristine Abely, "The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine" (Cambridge UP, 2024)February 2024 will mark the tenth anniversary of Russia’s seizure of Ukrainian territory in Crimea and the Donbas and two years since its full-scale invasion.While military assistance from Ukraine’s allies has been gradual and cautious, retaliatory sanctions have been impressive. "The sanctions imposed against Russia beginning in late winter 2022 were sweeping, historic and rolled out with stunning rapidity,” writes Christine Abely in The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Cambridge University Press, 2023).Yet, until now at least, most Russians have been insulated from their effects. As the war reaches an attri...2023-12-2138 min
New Books in World AffairsChristine Abely, "The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine" (Cambridge UP, 2024)February 2024 will mark the tenth anniversary of Russia’s seizure of Ukrainian territory in Crimea and the Donbas and two years since its full-scale invasion.While military assistance from Ukraine’s allies has been gradual and cautious, retaliatory sanctions have been impressive. "The sanctions imposed against Russia beginning in late winter 2022 were sweeping, historic and rolled out with stunning rapidity,” writes Christine Abely in The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Cambridge University Press, 2023).Yet, until now at least, most Russians have been insulated from their effects. As the war reaches an attri...2023-12-2138 min
New Books in EconomicsChristine Abely, "The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine" (Cambridge UP, 2024)February 2024 will mark the tenth anniversary of Russia’s seizure of Ukrainian territory in Crimea and the Donbas and two years since its full-scale invasion.While military assistance from Ukraine’s allies has been gradual and cautious, retaliatory sanctions have been impressive. "The sanctions imposed against Russia beginning in late winter 2022 were sweeping, historic and rolled out with stunning rapidity,” writes Christine Abely in The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Cambridge University Press, 2023).Yet, until now at least, most Russians have been insulated from their effects. As the war reaches an attri...2023-12-2138 min
New Books in Ukrainian StudiesChristine Abely, "The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine" (Cambridge UP, 2024)February 2024 will mark the tenth anniversary of Russia’s seizure of Ukrainian territory in Crimea and the Donbas and two years since its full-scale invasion.While military assistance from Ukraine’s allies has been gradual and cautious, retaliatory sanctions have been impressive. "The sanctions imposed against Russia beginning in late winter 2022 were sweeping, historic and rolled out with stunning rapidity,” writes Christine Abely in The Russia Sanctions: The Economic Response to Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Cambridge University Press, 2023).Yet, until now at least, most Russians have been insulated from their effects. As the war reaches an attri...2023-12-2136 min
English Learning for Curious Minds#428 | Sanctions: Do They Even Work? From export and import controls to asset freezes and travel restrictions, there are various methods for imposing sanctions. But how effective are they?
In this episode, we will discuss sanctions, how they work, and pose the perhaps controversial question: do they truly work?
PhD Program Rejection
Types of Sanctions: Embargoes, Controls, Freezes, Restrictions
Historical Context: Ancient Greece to Modern Era
Effectiveness Debate: Agathe Demarais' Analysis
Case Study: US Sanctions on Cuba
Success Case: Sanctions on South Africa
Contemporary Example: Sanctions on Russia
Challenges in Assessing Sanctions' Efficacy
Human Impact: Siavash's Wife's Sto...2023-12-1523 minForeign Policy LiveTakeaways From the Biden-Xi MeetingChinese President Xi Jinping visited the United States for the first time in six years this week, announcing with U.S. President Joe Biden a range of new collaborations between the world’s two biggest economies. Host Ravi Agrawal convenes a panel to analyze takeaways from this week’s Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in San Francisco and is joined by FP’s James Palmer, the Spectator’s Cindy Yu, and former Obama administration advisor Evan Medeiros.Suggested reading:Robbie Gramer: Biden and Xi Try the Personal TouchJames Palmer: Can Xi and Biden Repair U...2023-11-1739 min
Le CollimateurFaire la guerre par l'économie [Rétro-collimateur]Rediffusion du 8 novembre 2022Invitée : Agathe Demarais, directrice des prévisions mondiales de l’Economist Intelligence Unit, autrice de « Backfire » (Columbia University Press)2:00 La longue histoire des sanctions économiques 11:30 L’ère des sanctions financières : Corée du Nord, Iran, Russie29:00 Les mécanismes de sanctions 38:15 Limites et effets paradoxaux des sanctions52:30 Critères d’efficacité des sanctions1:00:30 Les sanctions et la RussieExtrait audio : « The Embargo », chanson britannique sur le blocus continental de 1806-1808, chanté par David et Gilger Hildebrand : www.americanantiquarian...2023-08-151h 14
The Sound of EconomicsRead with Bruegel: Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. InterestsThe Sound of Economics is bringing you a summer 2023 special series, 'Read with Bruegel.' In this series, we have the pleasure of hosting renowned authors who will discuss various economic issues based on their insightful books. We hope this conversation will inspire you to explore their books and offer you some food for thought during your summer break.
In this episode of the series, Bruegel Senior fellow Maria Demertzis welcomes Agathe Demarais, Global forecasting director, Economist Intelligence Unit, to discuss her latest book ‘Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests’.
From Russia’s inva...2023-07-2644 minForeign Policy LiveInside the U.S.-China Tech WarOver the last few years, the United States has moved to limit China’s technological rise. U.S.-led sanctions have imposed unprecedented limits on Beijing’s access to advanced computing chips. In response, China has accelerated its own efforts to develop its technological industry and reduce its dependence on external imports.Where is U.S.-China tech competition headed? How are other countries being impacted as a result? Technology expert Dan Wang, who was known for his yearly reflections on China when living in Shanghai, joins FP Live host Ravi Agrawal. Suggested reading:Dan...2023-06-3043 min
WIIS Brussels VoicesWomen Leaders: Sanctions all aroundSanctions have become central to the Western response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, with ever escalating packages being announced every few weeks, notably by the US and the EU. But sanctions did not start in 2022. Indeed, Russia was first sanctioned over Ukraine in 2014, after it annexed Crimea — and over decades states such as North Korea, Iran, Nicaragua and various others have been subject to a variety of restrictions, bans and many other measures, largely related to economics. As such, sanctions have clearly become a core tool of international statecraft; the question is: do they work?A la...2023-04-2847 minForeign Policy LiveLarry Summers on China, Russia, and the Global EconomyCould the United States enter a recession this year? Renowned economist Larry Summers thinks such a scenario is more likely than not. He also thinks the United States’ increasingly hawkish China policy is dangerous for the world. Summers discusses all that and more with host Ravi Agrawal. FP subscribers can watch these interviews live and submit questions and suggestions by going to https://foreignpolicy.com/live/.Suggested reading:Jessica Chen Weiss: Is America’s China Policy Too Hawkish?Adam Tooze: Why a Soft Landing Is Possible Even if It Defies Economic Theor...2023-04-1436 min
SAIS Rethinking IranBook Forum: Backfire - How Sanctions Shape the World Against U.S. InterestsSanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals—and their potent side effects can even harm American interests.
Backfire explores the surprising ways sanctions af...2023-04-0358 min
Mark Leonard's World in 30 MinutesJames O’Brien on sanctionsA year into the war in Ukraine, economic sanctions remain the West’s strongest instrument against Russia. But the Russian economy has proven surprisingly resilient: Russia still sells oil to Turkey and China, and – according to a recent investigation by The Economist and SourceMaterial – the Kremlin’s sanctions-dodging is becoming increasingly advanced. This week, Mark Leonard is joined by James O’Brien, head of the office of sanctions coordination at the US State Department, to discuss the efficacy of economic sanctions. What ripple effects have sanctions had for Western and third countries? Is the United States currently mulling sanctions against China? And...2023-03-1038 min
DS Vandaag1 jaar oorlog | Wie voelt de pijn van de sancties?In de vierde aflevering van de podcastreeks '1 jaar oorlog' leggen we de economische impact van de oorlog in de weegschaal. Dat die er is, dat merkten we allemaal aan onze energiefacturen. Maar werkt het sanctiewapen ook zoals we hoopten? En wat blijft er over van de economieën van Rusland en Oekraïne? Ruben Mooijman en Nico Tanghe van onze economieredactie schetsen in deze aflevering hoezeer we Rusland én onszelf pijn hebben gedaan op economisch vlak. Agathe Demarais van The economist schetst wat de impact van de sancties is en hoe landen zich wapenen tegen het sanctiewapen. Beluister de...2023-02-2339 min
Australia in the WorldEp. 110: Ukraine, one year onMarking one year since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Allan and Darren reflect on what they have learned, what surprised them, and how they each are thinking about the path ahead.
We thank Walter Colnaghi for research and audio editing and Rory Stenning for composing our theme music.
Relevant links
“Ukrainian foreign minister responds to Amanpour's 'painful' question about war” (video), CNN, 21 February 2023: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tShC67Xp8m8
Olga Oliker, “Fighting While Female: How Gender Dynamics Are Shaping the War in Ukraine”, Foreign Affairs, 21 November 2022: https://www.foreignaff...2023-02-2325 min
Dollar & Sense: The Brookings Trade PodcastWhy US economic sanctions often failAgathe Demarais, global forecasting director of the Economist Intelligence Unit, speaks with host David Dollar about her new book, Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests (Columbia University Press). In the conversation, Demarais explains why sanctions are a frequent U.S. foreign policy tool, why sanctions are often ineffective, and how China and Russia are developing ways to circumvent sanctions. Show notes and transcript: https://bit.ly/3k0oZq7 Dollar & Sense is part of the Brookings Podcast Network. Learn more at brookings.edu/podcasts, and send feedback to podcasts@brookings.edu. ...2023-02-2126 min
Trade Talks178. Why sanctions to stop Russian gas pipelines backfiredSince the early 1980s, the United States repeatedly imposed sanctions on European allies in the attempt to stop the construction of natural gas pipelines from Russia. Agathe Demarais (The Economist Intelligence Unit) tells the stories of the Siberian Natural Gas Pipeline, Nord Stream 1, and Nord Stream 2, as well as the costs and unintended consequences of the US sanctions (53:00).
Read more...
Agathe Demarais. 2022. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against US Interests. Columbia University Press.
2023-02-1900 min
Lloyd's List: The Shipping PodcastThe Lloyd’s List Podcast: Why shipping’s sanctions risk is here to stayThe public debate in the west about whether sanctions levelled against Russia are working is inevitably complex, but ultimately is immaterial to most companies struggling to comply with them. The point is that sanctions are growing in volume and complexity and, given their political popularity, they are not going to be disappearing any time soon.
This week’s edition of the Lloyd’s List Podcast takes a look at how the operational requirement to stay on the right side of an increasingly complex compliance landscape is reshaping the way that shipping businesses operate.
Because shipping is struggling. While the finance sect...2023-02-1019 minForeign Policy LiveAre US Sanctions on Russia Working?FP’s Ravi Agrawal spoke with two experts on sanctions to find out if they have worked: Agathe Demarais, global forecasting director at the Economist Intelligence Unit and author of Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests; and Nicholas Mulder, an assistant professor of history at Cornell University and author of The Economic Weapon: The Rise of Sanctions as a Tool of Modern War.FP subscribers can watch or read a condensed version of the interview. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices2023-02-1039 min
Talking China In EurasiaIs China Helping Russia Get Around Sanctions?China has supported the Kremlin and carefully navigated the Western sanctions slapped on Russia after it invaded Ukraine. But how far is Beijing willing to go in helping Moscow? Agathe Demarais, global forecasting director at the Economist Intelligence Unit, joins host Reid Standish as they explore how China is looking to use its growing economic power in the future.2023-02-0850 min
Mark Leonard's World in 30 MinutesAgathe Demarais on sanctions as a foreign policy toolOver the last decades, sanctions have become the West’s diplomatic tool par excellence. Faced with wars, humanitarian crises, and human rights violations, the West’s response has often been to impose sanctions to avoid resorting to military force. This week, Mark Leonard invited Agathe Demarais, global forecasting director of the Economist Intelligence Unit and author of “Backfire - How Sanctions Reshape the World Against US Interests”, to talk about how sanctions work and how they can be truly effective. Have the sanctions on Russia been successful? Is there a danger of the West becoming over-reliant on them? And will they eve...2023-02-0330 min
Supply ShockU.S Dollar's Role In The Great Power Competition | Michael KaoOn today's episode of On the Margin, Michel Kao joins the show for a discussion on the U.S Dollar and its role in the great power competition.Michael outlines his thesis for an upcoming paper on the U.S Dollar looking at the geopolitical significance of the Dollar and the four key economic pillars of which is stands upon. As many have called for the demise of the U.S Dollar, Michael sees the current rules based order continuing, despite the less favourable policies the U.S has enacted. To hear all this...2023-01-181h 29
Hidden ForcesHow Sanctions and Export Controls Weaponize Global Trade & Finance | Agathe DemaraisIn Episode 293 of Hidden Forces, Agathe Demarais, the Global forecasting director at the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) and author of Backfire, joins us for a discussion about the ripple effects of US sanctions and export controls, how they are reshaping the global economy by weaponizing trade and finance, and the steps that countries are taking to insulate themselves from the US Dollar-based global financial and trading system. This episode is part of a series of conversations that we’ve curated on the role and future of the US dollar, the reorganization of international trade along geopolitical lines, an...2023-01-1646 min
Global Dispatches -- World News That MattersThe Growing Global Backlash Against US SanctionsAgathe Demarais was a treasury official in the French government working in Moscow and Beirut when she saw, first hand, some of the unintended impacts of US sanctions. Agathe Demarais is the global forecasting director of the Economist Intelligence Unit and author of the new book Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against US Interests. The book makes the provocative argument that an over-reliance on sanctions as a tool US foreign policy is making sanctions a less effective tool of US foreign policy. In our conversation, Agathe Demarais explains how US sanctions are sort of like antibiotics i...2023-01-1633 min
Comprendre le monde - par Pascal BonifaceÉconomie mondiale 2023 : turbulences, tempêtes ou catastrophes ? Avec Sylvie MatellyÉconomie mondiale 2023 : turbulences, tempêtes ou catastrophes ? Avec Sylvie Matelly | ENTRETIENS GÉOPO
L’année 2022 a été marquée par un ralentissement généralisé de l’économie mondiale. Récession, crise de l’énergie, inflation… Les conséquences de la pandémie de Covid-19 ainsi que le déclenchement et le prolongement dans la durée de la guerre russo-ukrainienne a plongé le monde dans une grande incertitude économique. D’après les estimations du Fonds monétaire international, l’inflation mondiale aurait atteint les 8,8 % en 2022 (alors qu’elle s’établissait à 4,7 % en 2021). La Chine a fait les frais de sa politique zéro Covid. L...2023-01-0423 min
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal HafeezAgathe Demarais on How Sanctions Backfire on the USAgathe Demarais is the Global Forecasting Director of The Economist Intelligence Unit. Agathe has a special focus on trade, sanctions, European affairs, Russia and the Middle East. As The EIU’s Global Forecasting Director, Agathe oversees the publication of The EIU global outlook. Prior to joining The EIU, Agathe worked in the diplomatic corps of the French Treasury. She spent five years in Russia and three years in the Middle East, where she developed her knowledge of sanctions and policymaking. Agathe is the author of the new book ‘Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests’. This week's...2022-12-1657 min
@MriyaReport news from Ukraine & replays of guests you might have missed or want to listen to again.Agathe DemaraisEconomist Agathe Demarais (@AgatheDemarais/Twitter), currently global forecasting director at The Economist Intelligence. Author of "Backfire" a book on the recent history of sanctions, talks with us about the effects of the U.S. sanctions against Russia and the ways sanctions affect multinational companies, governments, and ultimately millions of people around the world. 2022-12-011h 03
Comprendre le monde - par Pascal BonifaceENTRETIENS GÉOPO S6#13 – Maurice Gourdault-Montagne – "Les autres ne pensent pas comme nous"Le monde occidental a perdu le monopole de la puissance. Son modèle et sa vision des relations internationales sont aujourd’hui remis en question. Les pays du Sud observent avec stupéfaction la guerre en Ukraine, que Maurice Gourdault-Montagne qualifie dans son ouvrage de « conflit régional entre blancs », et le positionnement adopté par les pays du Nord. Les pays du Sud ont notamment pointé du doigt l’indignation sélective dont peuvent faire preuve les pays occidentaux à l’égard de certains conflits, mettant ainsi en exergue une inégalité dans l’application de valeurs dites « universelles ». Par ailleurs, le non-alignement sur...2022-11-3026 min
Off the Page: A Columbia University Press PodcastAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07
New Books in Economic and Business HistoryAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07
New Books in National SecurityAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07New Books in EconomicsAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07
New Books in Politics and PolemicsAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07
New Books in Big IdeasAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07
New Books in American PoliticsAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07
New Books in Diplomatic HistoryAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07New Books in World AffairsAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07NBN Book of the DayAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07
New Books in American StudiesAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07
New Books in Iranian StudiesAgathe Demarais, "Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests" (Columbia UP, 2022)Sanctions have become the go-to foreign policy tool for the United States. Coercive economic measures such as trade tariffs, financial penalties, and export controls affect large numbers of companies and states across the globe. Some of these penalties target nonstate actors, such as Colombian drug cartels and Islamist terror groups; others apply to entire countries, including North Korea, Iran, and Russia. U.S. policy makers see sanctions as a low-cost tactic, but in reality these measures often fail to achieve their intended goals--and their potent side effects can even harm American interests. Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the W...2022-11-291h 07
Comprendre le monde - par Pascal BonifaceENTRETIENS GÉOPO S6#12 – Agathe Demarais – "Sanctions américaines : une arme à double tranchant ?"Washington a mis en place plus d’une dizaine de milliers de sanctions au cours des dix dernières années. Mesures pouvant s’avérer rapides et commodes, les sanctions sont aujourd’hui fréquemment utilisées pour condamner des comportements jugés "mauvais" ou encore pour éviter une guerre. Washington y a eu recours à de nombreuses reprises à l’encontre d’individus, d’entreprises, d’États, tels que l’Iran (1979-1981, puis réintroduites en 1987), la Syrie (1986) ou plus récemment la Russie (2022), ou encore pour geler certains secteurs d’activité, s’attribuant ainsi le rôle de gendarme du monde.
Néanmoins, le s...2022-11-2325 min
Le CollimateurFaire la guerre par l'économieInvité : Agathe Demarais, directrice des prévisions mondiales de l’Economist Intelligence Unit, autrice de « Backfire » (Columbia University Press)2:00 La longue histoire des sanctions économiques 11:30 L’ère des sanctions financières : Corée du Nord, Iran, Russie29:00 Les mécanismes de sanctions 38:15 Limites et effets paradoxaux des sanctions52:30 Critères d’efficacité des sanctions1:00:30 Les sanctions et la Russie Extrait audio : « The Embargo », chanson britannique sur le blocus continental de 1806-1808, chanté par David et Gilger Hildebrand : https://www.americanantiquarian.org/thomasballads/items/show/164Générique par @yotta_musicDistribué par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.2022-11-081h 14
East-West Coffee ShopWestern Sanctions towards RussiaYGLN members Maria Shagina and Agathe Demarais have joined the East West Coffee Shop for an episode on the issue of Western sanctions towards Russia. They are addressing the new executive order signed by the Biden administration in April, as well as EU sanctions imposed under the new Global Human Rights Sanctions Regime which was established by the Council in December 2020.
This episode will look at whether the new sanctions imposed on Russia are mostly symbolic or whether they are suited to reach the desired effect to deter Russia's harmful activities such as interference in elections, cyber...2021-05-2531 min
Business DailyChina's vaccine diplomacyPoorer countries in search of Covid-19 vaccines are looking east. Agathe Demarais, global forecasting director at the Economist Intelligence Unit, describes how China and Russia are stepping in to provide vaccines where Europe and the US aren't. Yanzhong Huang, senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign Relations, explains how this feeds into China's soft power aspirations. Yuan Ding, dean of the China Europe International Business School, and David Haigh, CEO of Brand Finance, discusses China's efforts at soft power so far. (Photo: A nurse in Brazil holds a sample of a Chinese Covid-19 vaccine)2021-02-2518 min
Kapsül BültenDünya beşten küçükmüş | 28 Ocak 2021The Economist Intelligence Unit'in son raporu, dünyada gelir düzeyi düşük en az 85 ülkenin Covid-19 aşılarına 2023’ten önce erişemeyeceğini ortaya koydu.Araştırmanın direktörü Agathe Demarais’e göre ülkeler arasındaki aşı eşitsizliği en az beş yıl boyunca küresel ekonomiyi, siyasi ilişkileri ve uluslararası seyahatler de dahil olmak üzere hemen her şeyi yeniden tanımlayacak.Kapsül'ün hazırladığı e-bültenlere www.kapsul.com.tr'den abone olabilirsiniz.Kapsül'e Patreon üzerinden destekte bulunabilirsiniz.--- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/kapsul-bul2021-01-2805 min